{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\DP\Dropbox\Sanctions Early Peksen Folder\Sanction Effectiveness Shadow Econ Project\Data and do files\REPLICATION data and do files\FPA EarlyPeksen SE and Sanct Effect LOG.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}15 Jul 2019, 22:09:02

{com}. do "C:\Users\DP\Dropbox\Sanctions Early Peksen Folder\Sanction Effectiveness Shadow Econ Project\Data and do files\REPLICATION data and do files\FPA EarlyPeksen SE and Sanct Effect Do.do"
{txt}
{com}. * Replication Do File: Early and Peksen,"Shadow Economies and the Success of Economic Sanctions:Explaining Why Democratic Targets are Disadvantaged," FPA
. *Table 1 
. *(Minor Trade and Environmental Sanctions Excluded)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      431
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      220

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    30.52
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-385.5898                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0002

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0780168{col 37}{space 2} .0288736{col 48}{space 1}    2.70{col 57}{space 3}0.007{col 65}{space 4} .0214255{col 78}{space 3}  .134608
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7265093{col 37}{space 2} .7974856{col 48}{space 1}    0.91{col 57}{space 3}0.362{col 65}{space 4}-.8365337{col 78}{space 3} 2.289552
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5362498{col 37}{space 2} .2338553{col 48}{space 1}    2.29{col 57}{space 3}0.022{col 65}{space 4} .0779019{col 78}{space 3} .9945978
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0772442{col 37}{space 2} .1478966{col 48}{space 1}    0.52{col 57}{space 3}0.601{col 65}{space 4}-.2126278{col 78}{space 3} .3671162
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.215349{col 37}{space 2} 1.630566{col 48}{space 1}    0.75{col 57}{space 3}0.456{col 65}{space 4}-1.980502{col 78}{space 3} 4.411201
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0586366{col 37}{space 2} .0273615{col 48}{space 1}   -2.14{col 57}{space 3}0.032{col 65}{space 4}-.1122642{col 78}{space 3} -.005009
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0861597{col 37}{space 2} .0206953{col 48}{space 1}    4.16{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} .0455977{col 78}{space 3} .1267218
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3612817{col 37}{space 2} .2231331{col 48}{space 1}   -1.62{col 57}{space 3}0.105{col 65}{space 4}-.7986146{col 78}{space 3} .0760512
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.145035{col 37}{space 2} .7792131{col 48}{space 1}   -1.47{col 57}{space 3}0.142{col 65}{space 4}-2.672265{col 78}{space 3} .3821945
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3303403{col 37}{space 2} .5012921{col 48}{space 1}    0.66{col 57}{space 3}0.510{col 65}{space 4}-.6521741{col 78}{space 3} 1.312855
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0084945{col 37}{space 2} .0058637{col 48}{space 1}   -1.45{col 57}{space 3}0.147{col 65}{space 4}-.0199872{col 78}{space 3} .0029981
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .238782{col 37}{space 2} 1.181548{col 48}{space 1}    0.20{col 57}{space 3}0.840{col 65}{space 4}-2.077009{col 78}{space 3} 2.554573
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0182002{col 37}{space 2} .0096435{col 48}{space 1}   -1.89{col 57}{space 3}0.059{col 65}{space 4} -.037101{col 78}{space 3} .0007006
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1742501{col 37}{space 2} .3630071{col 48}{space 1}   -0.48{col 57}{space 3}0.631{col 65}{space 4} -.885731{col 78}{space 3} .5372308
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2825966{col 37}{space 2} .1445418{col 48}{space 1}    1.96{col 57}{space 3}0.051{col 65}{space 4}-.0007001{col 78}{space 3} .5658934
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4862006{col 37}{space 2}  .128136{col 48}{space 1}   -3.79{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.7373425{col 78}{space 3}-.2350586
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1972565{col 37}{space 2} .2498091{col 48}{space 1}    0.79{col 57}{space 3}0.430{col 65}{space 4}-.2923603{col 78}{space 3} .6868734
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4974358{col 37}{space 2} .6433166{col 48}{space 1}   -0.77{col 57}{space 3}0.439{col 65}{space 4}-1.758313{col 78}{space 3} .7634415
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.4600981{col 37}{space 2} .5071327{col 65}{space 4}-.9423143{col 78}{space 3} .6430996
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.60   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.4394
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2>=6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      231
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      125
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      106

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    18.68
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-193.5359                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0167

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .224776{col 37}{space 2}  .085324{col 48}{space 1}    2.63{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4} .0575439{col 78}{space 3}  .392008
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.219296{col 37}{space 2} 1.431042{col 48}{space 1}    1.55{col 57}{space 3}0.121{col 65}{space 4}-.5854955{col 78}{space 3} 5.024088
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3907746{col 37}{space 2} .4715605{col 48}{space 1}    0.83{col 57}{space 3}0.407{col 65}{space 4}-.5334671{col 78}{space 3} 1.315016
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3128508{col 37}{space 2} .2645501{col 48}{space 1}    1.18{col 57}{space 3}0.237{col 65}{space 4}-.2056578{col 78}{space 3} .8313595
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.267398{col 37}{space 2}  3.42635{col 48}{space 1}    1.25{col 57}{space 3}0.213{col 65}{space 4}-2.448125{col 78}{space 3} 10.98292
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0890932{col 37}{space 2} .0463107{col 48}{space 1}   -1.92{col 57}{space 3}0.054{col 65}{space 4}-.1798605{col 78}{space 3}  .001674
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4145118{col 37}{space 2} .1751785{col 48}{space 1}    2.37{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4} .0711683{col 78}{space 3} .7578552
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7015693{col 37}{space 2} .4445746{col 48}{space 1}   -1.58{col 57}{space 3}0.115{col 65}{space 4}-1.572919{col 78}{space 3} .1697809
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  -7.7105{col 37}{space 2} 3.663102{col 48}{space 1}   -2.10{col 57}{space 3}0.035{col 65}{space 4}-14.89005{col 78}{space 3}-.5309529
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6421871{col 37}{space 2} .8947471{col 48}{space 1}   -0.72{col 57}{space 3}0.473{col 65}{space 4}-2.395859{col 78}{space 3} 1.111485
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0067953{col 37}{space 2} .0046318{col 48}{space 1}   -1.47{col 57}{space 3}0.142{col 65}{space 4}-.0158735{col 78}{space 3} .0022829
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4275622{col 37}{space 2} 1.943463{col 48}{space 1}   -0.22{col 57}{space 3}0.826{col 65}{space 4}-4.236679{col 78}{space 3} 3.381555
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0235863{col 37}{space 2}  .013434{col 48}{space 1}   -1.76{col 57}{space 3}0.079{col 65}{space 4}-.0499164{col 78}{space 3} .0027438
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3244306{col 37}{space 2} .5325917{col 48}{space 1}   -0.61{col 57}{space 3}0.542{col 65}{space 4}-1.368291{col 78}{space 3} .7194299
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4556131{col 37}{space 2} .2110564{col 48}{space 1}    2.16{col 57}{space 3}0.031{col 65}{space 4} .0419502{col 78}{space 3}  .869276
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.248278{col 37}{space 2}  .192491{col 48}{space 1}   -1.29{col 57}{space 3}0.197{col 65}{space 4}-.6255534{col 78}{space 3} .1289975
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .363697{col 37}{space 2} .4073639{col 48}{space 1}    0.89{col 57}{space 3}0.372{col 65}{space 4}-.4347215{col 78}{space 3} 1.162116
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2904586{col 37}{space 2} .8491101{col 48}{space 1}   -0.34{col 57}{space 3}0.732{col 65}{space 4}-1.954684{col 78}{space 3} 1.373767
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.2825569{col 37}{space 2} .7813185{col 65}{space 4}-.9606821{col 78}{space 3} .8795478
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.12   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.7323
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Non-Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2<6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      200
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}       86
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      114

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    15.35
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-176.8188                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0526

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0410612{col 37}{space 2} .0353513{col 48}{space 1}    1.16{col 57}{space 3}0.245{col 65}{space 4} -.028226{col 78}{space 3} .1103485
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  1.26249{col 37}{space 2} .9449421{col 48}{space 1}    1.34{col 57}{space 3}0.182{col 65}{space 4}-.5895629{col 78}{space 3} 3.114542
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .608361{col 37}{space 2} .3102432{col 48}{space 1}    1.96{col 57}{space 3}0.050{col 65}{space 4} .0002955{col 78}{space 3} 1.216426
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0396134{col 37}{space 2} .1942115{col 48}{space 1}   -0.20{col 57}{space 3}0.838{col 65}{space 4}-.4202609{col 78}{space 3} .3410341
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.680253{col 37}{space 2}  2.10084{col 48}{space 1}   -0.32{col 57}{space 3}0.746{col 65}{space 4}-4.797823{col 78}{space 3} 3.437318
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0226179{col 37}{space 2} .0627747{col 48}{space 1}   -0.36{col 57}{space 3}0.719{col 65}{space 4}-.1456541{col 78}{space 3} .1004183
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1122083{col 37}{space 2} .0440672{col 48}{space 1}    2.55{col 57}{space 3}0.011{col 65}{space 4} .0258382{col 78}{space 3} .1985784
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0333616{col 37}{space 2} .3033414{col 48}{space 1}    0.11{col 57}{space 3}0.912{col 65}{space 4}-.5611766{col 78}{space 3} .6278999
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.229067{col 37}{space 2} .6113754{col 48}{space 1}   -3.65{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.427341{col 78}{space 3}-1.030793
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6473567{col 37}{space 2} .6672594{col 48}{space 1}    0.97{col 57}{space 3}0.332{col 65}{space 4}-.6604477{col 78}{space 3} 1.955161
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.042068{col 37}{space 2} .0304486{col 48}{space 1}   -1.38{col 57}{space 3}0.167{col 65}{space 4}-.1017461{col 78}{space 3} .0176101
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3577388{col 37}{space 2} 1.211934{col 48}{space 1}    0.30{col 57}{space 3}0.768{col 65}{space 4}-2.017608{col 78}{space 3} 2.733086
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.036185{col 37}{space 2} .0317376{col 48}{space 1}   -1.14{col 57}{space 3}0.254{col 65}{space 4}-.0983895{col 78}{space 3} .0260195
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1994088{col 37}{space 2} .5608331{col 48}{space 1}   -0.36{col 57}{space 3}0.722{col 65}{space 4}-1.298621{col 78}{space 3} .8998039
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0129469{col 37}{space 2} .2181922{col 48}{space 1}    0.06{col 57}{space 3}0.953{col 65}{space 4}-.4147019{col 78}{space 3} .4405957
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6569449{col 37}{space 2} .2215336{col 48}{space 1}   -2.97{col 57}{space 3}0.003{col 65}{space 4}-1.091143{col 78}{space 3} -.222747
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3773134{col 37}{space 2} .3563573{col 48}{space 1}    1.06{col 57}{space 3}0.290{col 65}{space 4}-.3211342{col 78}{space 3} 1.075761
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6068663{col 37}{space 2} .7543537{col 48}{space 1}    0.80{col 57}{space 3}0.421{col 65}{space 4}-.8716397{col 78}{space 3} 2.085372
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .5419175{col 37}{space 2} .5328192{col 65}{space 4}-.7022063{col 78}{space 3} .9695881
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.65   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.4211
{txt}
{com}. *(ALL Sanctions)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      832
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      455
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      377

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    28.28
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-721.3224                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0004

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0452174{col 37}{space 2} .0213958{col 48}{space 1}    2.11{col 57}{space 3}0.035{col 65}{space 4} .0032824{col 78}{space 3} .0871524
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0620857{col 37}{space 2} .6324548{col 48}{space 1}    0.10{col 57}{space 3}0.922{col 65}{space 4}-1.177503{col 78}{space 3} 1.301674
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .417674{col 37}{space 2} .2014863{col 48}{space 1}    2.07{col 57}{space 3}0.038{col 65}{space 4} .0227681{col 78}{space 3}   .81258
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3145668{col 37}{space 2} .1263399{col 48}{space 1}    2.49{col 57}{space 3}0.013{col 65}{space 4} .0669452{col 78}{space 3} .5621884
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.099275{col 37}{space 2} 1.014835{col 48}{space 1}   -1.08{col 57}{space 3}0.279{col 65}{space 4}-3.088315{col 78}{space 3} .8897643
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0313373{col 37}{space 2} .0127702{col 48}{space 1}   -2.45{col 57}{space 3}0.014{col 65}{space 4}-.0563665{col 78}{space 3}-.0063081
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0355767{col 37}{space 2}  .014678{col 48}{space 1}    2.42{col 57}{space 3}0.015{col 65}{space 4} .0068082{col 78}{space 3} .0643451
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0178396{col 37}{space 2}  .163114{col 48}{space 1}    0.11{col 57}{space 3}0.913{col 65}{space 4} -.301858{col 78}{space 3} .3375373
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.881512{col 37}{space 2} .3729007{col 48}{space 1}   -5.05{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-2.612384{col 78}{space 3} -1.15064
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3469727{col 37}{space 2} .3914686{col 48}{space 1}    0.89{col 57}{space 3}0.375{col 65}{space 4}-.4202917{col 78}{space 3} 1.114237
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0095293{col 37}{space 2} .0055301{col 48}{space 1}   -1.72{col 57}{space 3}0.085{col 65}{space 4} -.020368{col 78}{space 3} .0013094
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0535564{col 37}{space 2} .6844216{col 48}{space 1}    0.08{col 57}{space 3}0.938{col 65}{space 4}-1.287885{col 78}{space 3} 1.394998
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0126919{col 37}{space 2} .0060425{col 48}{space 1}   -2.10{col 57}{space 3}0.036{col 65}{space 4} -.024535{col 78}{space 3}-.0008487
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4268934{col 37}{space 2} .1798547{col 48}{space 1}    2.37{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4} .0743847{col 78}{space 3} .7794021
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1186326{col 37}{space 2}  .107911{col 48}{space 1}   -1.10{col 57}{space 3}0.272{col 65}{space 4}-.3301342{col 78}{space 3} .0928691
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0109014{col 37}{space 2} .0927808{col 48}{space 1}    0.12{col 57}{space 3}0.906{col 65}{space 4}-.1709456{col 78}{space 3} .1927483
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0037986{col 37}{space 2} .1953558{col 48}{space 1}    0.02{col 57}{space 3}0.984{col 65}{space 4}-.3790917{col 78}{space 3}  .386689
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6642172{col 37}{space 2} .5986604{col 48}{space 1}    1.11{col 57}{space 3}0.267{col 65}{space 4}-.5091355{col 78}{space 3}  1.83757
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .5811631{col 37}{space 2} .3964625{col 65}{space 4}-.4692714{col 78}{space 3} .9505614
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    1.23   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.2672
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if selectpolity2>=6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      542
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      306
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      236

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    14.31
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-452.8198                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0741

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0757896{col 37}{space 2} .0406925{col 48}{space 1}    1.86{col 57}{space 3}0.063{col 65}{space 4}-.0039661{col 78}{space 3} .1555454
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .182293{col 37}{space 2} 1.014273{col 48}{space 1}    0.18{col 57}{space 3}0.857{col 65}{space 4}-1.805645{col 78}{space 3} 2.170231
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .340289{col 37}{space 2} .3087314{col 48}{space 1}    1.10{col 57}{space 3}0.270{col 65}{space 4}-.2648134{col 78}{space 3} .9453915
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4982311{col 37}{space 2} .2310163{col 48}{space 1}    2.16{col 57}{space 3}0.031{col 65}{space 4} .0454474{col 78}{space 3} .9510148
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.489246{col 37}{space 2} 1.261285{col 48}{space 1}   -1.18{col 57}{space 3}0.238{col 65}{space 4}-3.961318{col 78}{space 3} .9828267
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0286082{col 37}{space 2} .0156604{col 48}{space 1}   -1.83{col 57}{space 3}0.068{col 65}{space 4} -.059302{col 78}{space 3} .0020856
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1565469{col 37}{space 2} .1050235{col 48}{space 1}    1.49{col 57}{space 3}0.136{col 65}{space 4}-.0492954{col 78}{space 3} .3623891
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0502167{col 37}{space 2} .2269855{col 48}{space 1}   -0.22{col 57}{space 3}0.825{col 65}{space 4}-.4951001{col 78}{space 3} .3946668
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-4.312034{col 37}{space 2} 1.913684{col 48}{space 1}   -2.25{col 57}{space 3}0.024{col 65}{space 4}-8.062786{col 78}{space 3} -.561281
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5901635{col 37}{space 2} .6637318{col 48}{space 1}   -0.89{col 57}{space 3}0.374{col 65}{space 4}-1.891054{col 78}{space 3}  .710727
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0083925{col 37}{space 2} .0056854{col 48}{space 1}   -1.48{col 57}{space 3}0.140{col 65}{space 4}-.0195357{col 78}{space 3} .0027506
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4503491{col 37}{space 2} .8366586{col 48}{space 1}    0.54{col 57}{space 3}0.590{col 65}{space 4}-1.189472{col 78}{space 3}  2.09017
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0220602{col 37}{space 2} .0084223{col 48}{space 1}   -2.62{col 57}{space 3}0.009{col 65}{space 4}-.0385677{col 78}{space 3}-.0055528
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3829305{col 37}{space 2} .2147103{col 48}{space 1}    1.78{col 57}{space 3}0.075{col 65}{space 4} -.037894{col 78}{space 3}  .803755
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1415044{col 37}{space 2}  .143067{col 48}{space 1}   -0.99{col 57}{space 3}0.323{col 65}{space 4}-.4219106{col 78}{space 3} .1389018
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1630871{col 37}{space 2} .1210538{col 48}{space 1}    1.35{col 57}{space 3}0.178{col 65}{space 4} -.074174{col 78}{space 3} .4003481
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3211178{col 37}{space 2} .2975658{col 48}{space 1}    1.08{col 57}{space 3}0.281{col 65}{space 4}-.2621004{col 78}{space 3}  .904336
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3666663{col 37}{space 2} .9806276{col 48}{space 1}    0.37{col 57}{space 3}0.708{col 65}{space 4}-1.555328{col 78}{space 3} 2.288661
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .3510723{col 37}{space 2} .8597635{col 65}{space 4}-.9146604{col 78}{space 3} .9796445
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.14   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.7085
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Non-Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if selectpolity2<6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      290
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      149
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      141

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    24.05
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-253.8734                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0022

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0147523{col 37}{space 2} .0238097{col 48}{space 1}    0.62{col 57}{space 3}0.536{col 65}{space 4}-.0319138{col 78}{space 3} .0614185
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2465919{col 37}{space 2} .7616389{col 48}{space 1}    0.32{col 57}{space 3}0.746{col 65}{space 4}-1.246193{col 78}{space 3} 1.739377
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4002089{col 37}{space 2} .2166497{col 48}{space 1}    1.85{col 57}{space 3}0.065{col 65}{space 4}-.0244167{col 78}{space 3} .8248345
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1228169{col 37}{space 2} .1528515{col 48}{space 1}    0.80{col 57}{space 3}0.422{col 65}{space 4}-.1767664{col 78}{space 3} .4224003
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.177855{col 37}{space 2} 1.483395{col 48}{space 1}   -0.79{col 57}{space 3}0.427{col 65}{space 4}-4.085256{col 78}{space 3} 1.729545
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.104557{col 37}{space 2} .0430455{col 48}{space 1}   -2.43{col 57}{space 3}0.015{col 65}{space 4}-.1889246{col 78}{space 3}-.0201895
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0667968{col 37}{space 2} .0240735{col 48}{space 1}    2.77{col 57}{space 3}0.006{col 65}{space 4} .0196136{col 78}{space 3}   .11398
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0915429{col 37}{space 2}  .219956{col 48}{space 1}    0.42{col 57}{space 3}0.677{col 65}{space 4}-.3395629{col 78}{space 3} .5226487
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.727372{col 37}{space 2} .4454201{col 48}{space 1}   -3.88{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} -2.60038{col 78}{space 3} -.854365
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7043619{col 37}{space 2}  .522465{col 48}{space 1}    1.35{col 57}{space 3}0.178{col 65}{space 4}-.3196507{col 78}{space 3} 1.728375
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0270664{col 37}{space 2} .0083746{col 48}{space 1}   -3.23{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4}-.0434804{col 78}{space 3}-.0106524
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3020366{col 37}{space 2} 1.201217{col 48}{space 1}   -0.25{col 57}{space 3}0.801{col 65}{space 4}-2.656379{col 78}{space 3} 2.052306
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0477976{col 37}{space 2} .0207156{col 48}{space 1}   -2.31{col 57}{space 3}0.021{col 65}{space 4}-.0883993{col 78}{space 3}-.0071958
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6167098{col 37}{space 2} .5516885{col 48}{space 1}    1.12{col 57}{space 3}0.264{col 65}{space 4}-.4645798{col 78}{space 3} 1.697999
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1483026{col 37}{space 2} .1678827{col 48}{space 1}   -0.88{col 57}{space 3}0.377{col 65}{space 4}-.4773466{col 78}{space 3} .1807415
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1752187{col 37}{space 2}  .148175{col 48}{space 1}   -1.18{col 57}{space 3}0.237{col 65}{space 4}-.4656365{col 78}{space 3}  .115199
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1027937{col 37}{space 2} .2870294{col 48}{space 1}    0.36{col 57}{space 3}0.720{col 65}{space 4}-.4597736{col 78}{space 3}  .665361
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 12.09504{col 37}{space 2} .0325833{col 48}{space 1}  371.20{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 12.03118{col 78}{space 3}  12.1589
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}        1{col 37}{space 2} 4.07e-12{col 65}{space 4}        1{col 78}{space 3}        1
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res} 1.4e+05   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. *SE Growth and Sanct Effectiveness Figure
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2>=6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      231
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      125
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      106

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    18.68
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-193.5359                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0167

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .224776{col 37}{space 2}  .085324{col 48}{space 1}    2.63{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4} .0575439{col 78}{space 3}  .392008
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.219296{col 37}{space 2} 1.431042{col 48}{space 1}    1.55{col 57}{space 3}0.121{col 65}{space 4}-.5854955{col 78}{space 3} 5.024088
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3907746{col 37}{space 2} .4715605{col 48}{space 1}    0.83{col 57}{space 3}0.407{col 65}{space 4}-.5334671{col 78}{space 3} 1.315016
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3128508{col 37}{space 2} .2645501{col 48}{space 1}    1.18{col 57}{space 3}0.237{col 65}{space 4}-.2056578{col 78}{space 3} .8313595
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.267398{col 37}{space 2}  3.42635{col 48}{space 1}    1.25{col 57}{space 3}0.213{col 65}{space 4}-2.448125{col 78}{space 3} 10.98292
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0890932{col 37}{space 2} .0463107{col 48}{space 1}   -1.92{col 57}{space 3}0.054{col 65}{space 4}-.1798605{col 78}{space 3}  .001674
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4145118{col 37}{space 2} .1751785{col 48}{space 1}    2.37{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4} .0711683{col 78}{space 3} .7578552
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7015693{col 37}{space 2} .4445746{col 48}{space 1}   -1.58{col 57}{space 3}0.115{col 65}{space 4}-1.572919{col 78}{space 3} .1697809
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  -7.7105{col 37}{space 2} 3.663102{col 48}{space 1}   -2.10{col 57}{space 3}0.035{col 65}{space 4}-14.89005{col 78}{space 3}-.5309529
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6421871{col 37}{space 2} .8947471{col 48}{space 1}   -0.72{col 57}{space 3}0.473{col 65}{space 4}-2.395859{col 78}{space 3} 1.111485
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0067953{col 37}{space 2} .0046318{col 48}{space 1}   -1.47{col 57}{space 3}0.142{col 65}{space 4}-.0158735{col 78}{space 3} .0022829
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4275622{col 37}{space 2} 1.943463{col 48}{space 1}   -0.22{col 57}{space 3}0.826{col 65}{space 4}-4.236679{col 78}{space 3} 3.381555
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0235863{col 37}{space 2}  .013434{col 48}{space 1}   -1.76{col 57}{space 3}0.079{col 65}{space 4}-.0499164{col 78}{space 3} .0027438
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3244306{col 37}{space 2} .5325917{col 48}{space 1}   -0.61{col 57}{space 3}0.542{col 65}{space 4}-1.368291{col 78}{space 3} .7194299
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4556131{col 37}{space 2} .2110564{col 48}{space 1}    2.16{col 57}{space 3}0.031{col 65}{space 4} .0419502{col 78}{space 3}  .869276
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.248278{col 37}{space 2}  .192491{col 48}{space 1}   -1.29{col 57}{space 3}0.197{col 65}{space 4}-.6255534{col 78}{space 3} .1289975
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .363697{col 37}{space 2} .4073639{col 48}{space 1}    0.89{col 57}{space 3}0.372{col 65}{space 4}-.4347215{col 78}{space 3} 1.162116
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2904586{col 37}{space 2} .8491101{col 48}{space 1}   -0.34{col 57}{space 3}0.732{col 65}{space 4}-1.954684{col 78}{space 3} 1.373767
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.2825569{col 37}{space 2} .7813185{col 65}{space 4}-.9606821{col 78}{space 3} .8795478
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.12   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.7323
{txt}
{com}. margins, at((mean) _all USsender=0 targetcosts=1 shadecondiff=(-8 (2) 8)) pr(pcond) force
{res}
{txt}Adjusted predictions{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       106
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(impositionsuccess=1|imposition=1), predict(pcond)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:shadecon~100}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}-8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:imposedsha~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2864588 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:institution}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.1320755 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:targetcosts}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:imposeddya~p}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 5}.02857 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:imposed~1000}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}11.47848 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:imposedpo~20}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}18.57769 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:USsender}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:selecprior~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2935309 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:capability}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}4.092743 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:seldyadtra~p}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0272873 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:selectt~1000}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}11.06784 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:alliancese~t}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.0188679 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:USsender2}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.6132075 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:postcoldwar}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}.4622642 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:shadecon~100}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}-6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:imposedsha~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.2864588 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
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{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .023795{col 26}{space 2} .0394751{col 37}{space 1}    0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.547{col 54}{space 4}-.0535749{col 67}{space 3} .1011649
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0644622{col 26}{space 2} .0745701{col 37}{space 1}    0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.387{col 54}{space 4}-.0816924{col 67}{space 3} .2106169
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1454785{col 26}{space 2} .1135096{col 37}{space 1}    1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.200{col 54}{space 4}-.0769962{col 67}{space 3} .3679532
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2762449{col 26}{space 2} .1439705{col 37}{space 1}    1.92{col 46}{space 3}0.055{col 54}{space 4}-.0059322{col 67}{space 3}  .558422
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4473332{col 26}{space 2} .1609998{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .1317794{col 67}{space 3}  .762887
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6288657{col 26}{space 2} .1640129{col 37}{space 1}    3.83{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3074064{col 67}{space 3} .9503251
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7851502{col 26}{space 2} .1470133{col 37}{space 1}    5.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4970094{col 67}{space 3} 1.073291
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8943768{col 26}{space 2} .1097596{col 37}{space 1}    8.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6792521{col 67}{space 3} 1.109502
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9563812{col 26}{space 2} .0661745{col 37}{space 1}   14.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8266815{col 67}{space 3} 1.086081
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *marginsplot, title("") ytitle( pr(Sanction Outcome=1)) xtitle(Shadow Economy Growth) graphregion(color(white)) 
. 
. 
. *****ONLINE APPENDIX*****
. *Appendix Table A1- Single Stage Models
. *Full Success - Full Model
. probit impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender, robust 

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-182.38912}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.87713}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.59287}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.59199}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.59199}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       377
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     31.66
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0001
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-165.59199{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0921

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionsuccess{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0499505{col 34}{space 2} .0226899{col 45}{space 1}    2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} .0054792{col 75}{space 3} .0944218
{txt}{space 5}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1146181{col 34}{space 2} .6929187{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.869{col 62}{space 4}-1.472714{col 75}{space 3} 1.243478
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4580594{col 34}{space 2} .1946213{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4} .0766086{col 75}{space 3} .8395102
{txt}{space 9}targetcosts {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3539289{col 34}{space 2} .1358885{col 45}{space 1}    2.60{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} .0875923{col 75}{space 3} .6202655
{txt}{space 1}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.227162{col 34}{space 2} 1.136769{col 45}{space 1}   -1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.280{col 62}{space 4}-3.455189{col 75}{space 3} 1.000865
{txt}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0316089{col 34}{space 2} .0136773{col 45}{space 1}   -2.31{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4}-.0584158{col 75}{space 3}-.0048019
{txt}{space 5}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0400772{col 34}{space 2} .0151463{col 45}{space 1}    2.65{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4}  .010391{col 75}{space 3} .0697635
{txt}{space 12}USsender {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0605644{col 34}{space 2} .1742594{col 45}{space 1}    0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.728{col 62}{space 4}-.2809778{col 75}{space 3} .4021066
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.574196{col 34}{space 2} .4107618{col 45}{space 1}   -3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2.379274{col 75}{space 3}-.7691177
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Full Success - Democracies
. probit impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if selectpolity2>=6, robust 

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-104.15916}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-93.605531}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-93.211414}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-93.210026}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-93.210026}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       236
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     18.59
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0172
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-93.210026{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1051

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionsuccess{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0777095{col 34}{space 2} .0395779{col 45}{space 1}    1.96{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4} .0001382{col 75}{space 3} .1552808
{txt}{space 5}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2539704{col 34}{space 2} 1.056056{col 45}{space 1}    0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.810{col 62}{space 4}-1.815861{col 75}{space 3} 2.323802
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3530478{col 34}{space 2} .2999429{col 45}{space 1}    1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.239{col 62}{space 4}-.2348294{col 75}{space 3}  .940925
{txt}{space 9}targetcosts {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5312305{col 34}{space 2}  .198908{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} .1413781{col 75}{space 3}  .921083
{txt}{space 1}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.629658{col 34}{space 2} 1.337583{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.223{col 62}{space 4}-4.251272{col 75}{space 3} .9919571
{txt}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0271046{col 34}{space 2} .0162396{col 45}{space 1}   -1.67{col 54}{space 3}0.095{col 62}{space 4}-.0589337{col 75}{space 3} .0047245
{txt}{space 5}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1706217{col 34}{space 2} .0970177{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-.0195294{col 75}{space 3} .3607729
{txt}{space 12}USsender {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0255846{col 34}{space 2} .2335682{col 45}{space 1}   -0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.913{col 62}{space 4}-.4833698{col 75}{space 3} .4322007
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -4.40207{col 34}{space 2} 1.910258{col 45}{space 1}   -2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4}-8.146107{col 75}{space 3}-.6580323
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Full Success - Non-Democracies
. probit impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if selectpolity2<6, robust 

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-76.720222}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.780835}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.683544}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.683514}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.683514}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       141
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     21.37
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0062
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-65.683514{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1439

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}    Robust
{col 1}   impositionsuccess{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      z{col 54}   P>|z|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0236489{col 34}{space 2} .0280352{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.399{col 62}{space 4}-.0312992{col 75}{space 3} .0785969
{txt}{space 5}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0603516{col 34}{space 2} .9608786{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.950{col 62}{space 4}-1.943639{col 75}{space 3} 1.822936
{txt}{space 9}institution {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5350172{col 34}{space 2} .2931311{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.068{col 62}{space 4}-.0395092{col 75}{space 3} 1.109544
{txt}{space 9}targetcosts {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1508466{col 34}{space 2}  .194097{col 45}{space 1}    0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.437{col 62}{space 4}-.2295765{col 75}{space 3} .5312698
{txt}{space 1}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.684257{col 34}{space 2} 1.983543{col 45}{space 1}   -0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.396{col 62}{space 4} -5.57193{col 75}{space 3} 2.203415
{txt}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0891026{col 34}{space 2} .0523585{col 45}{space 1}   -1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.089{col 62}{space 4}-.1917233{col 75}{space 3} .0135182
{txt}{space 5}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0897901{col 34}{space 2} .0291571{col 45}{space 1}    3.08{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} .0326433{col 75}{space 3}  .146937
{txt}{space 12}USsender {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .166519{col 34}{space 2} .2709159{col 45}{space 1}    0.61{col 54}{space 3}0.539{col 62}{space 4}-.3644664{col 75}{space 3} .6975044
{txt}{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   -1.434{col 34}{space 2} .5707931{col 45}{space 1}   -2.51{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4}-2.552734{col 75}{space 3}-.3152661
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *Appendix Table A2- Models with the Alternative Sanctions DV
. *(Minor Trade and Environmental Sanctions Excluded)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob successalt shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      431
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      220

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    24.84
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-400.3009                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0017

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}successalt              {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0492463{col 37}{space 2}   .02191{col 48}{space 1}    2.25{col 57}{space 3}0.025{col 65}{space 4} .0063035{col 78}{space 3} .0921891
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3626227{col 37}{space 2} .6662724{col 48}{space 1}   -0.54{col 57}{space 3}0.586{col 65}{space 4}-1.668493{col 78}{space 3} .9432472
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3338623{col 37}{space 2} .1959534{col 48}{space 1}    1.70{col 57}{space 3}0.088{col 65}{space 4}-.0501992{col 78}{space 3} .7179239
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2601596{col 37}{space 2} .1293585{col 48}{space 1}    2.01{col 57}{space 3}0.044{col 65}{space 4} .0066216{col 78}{space 3} .5136975
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.782111{col 37}{space 2} 1.436212{col 48}{space 1}    1.24{col 57}{space 3}0.215{col 65}{space 4}-1.032813{col 78}{space 3} 4.597034
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0539289{col 37}{space 2}  .022075{col 48}{space 1}   -2.44{col 57}{space 3}0.015{col 65}{space 4}-.0971951{col 78}{space 3}-.0106628
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0619121{col 37}{space 2}  .016137{col 48}{space 1}    3.84{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} .0302841{col 78}{space 3}   .09354
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4214033{col 37}{space 2} .1803335{col 48}{space 1}   -2.34{col 57}{space 3}0.019{col 65}{space 4}-.7748505{col 78}{space 3} -.067956
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1388724{col 37}{space 2} .4398193{col 48}{space 1}   -0.32{col 57}{space 3}0.752{col 65}{space 4}-1.000902{col 78}{space 3} .7231576
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3147371{col 37}{space 2} .4916472{col 48}{space 1}    0.64{col 57}{space 3}0.522{col 65}{space 4}-.6488738{col 78}{space 3} 1.278348
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0084576{col 37}{space 2} .0052182{col 48}{space 1}   -1.62{col 57}{space 3}0.105{col 65}{space 4}-.0186852{col 78}{space 3}   .00177
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3499402{col 37}{space 2} .9943935{col 48}{space 1}    0.35{col 57}{space 3}0.725{col 65}{space 4}-1.599035{col 78}{space 3} 2.298916
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0187416{col 37}{space 2} .0096109{col 48}{space 1}   -1.95{col 57}{space 3}0.051{col 65}{space 4}-.0375786{col 78}{space 3} .0000955
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1370098{col 37}{space 2} .3292153{col 48}{space 1}   -0.42{col 57}{space 3}0.677{col 65}{space 4}  -.78226{col 78}{space 3} .5082404
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2782477{col 37}{space 2} .1408761{col 48}{space 1}    1.98{col 57}{space 3}0.048{col 65}{space 4} .0021356{col 78}{space 3} .5543598
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4896146{col 37}{space 2}  .129236{col 48}{space 1}   -3.79{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.7429124{col 78}{space 3}-.2363168
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2054687{col 37}{space 2} .2439983{col 48}{space 1}    0.84{col 57}{space 3}0.400{col 65}{space 4}-.2727592{col 78}{space 3} .6836966
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.044857{col 37}{space 2} .4468287{col 48}{space 1}   -2.34{col 57}{space 3}0.019{col 65}{space 4}-1.920625{col 78}{space 3}-.1690889
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.7797988{col 37}{space 2} .1751183{col 65}{space 4}-.9579688{col 78}{space 3}-.1674956
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    5.47   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0194
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Democracies
. heckprob successalt shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2>=6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      231
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      125
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      106

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    18.49
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-201.1098                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0178

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}successalt              {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0520691{col 37}{space 2} .0228227{col 48}{space 1}    2.28{col 57}{space 3}0.023{col 65}{space 4} .0073374{col 78}{space 3} .0968008
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.448393{col 37}{space 2} 1.037003{col 48}{space 1}    1.40{col 57}{space 3}0.163{col 65}{space 4}-.5840955{col 78}{space 3} 3.480881
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1022307{col 37}{space 2} .2597912{col 48}{space 1}    0.39{col 57}{space 3}0.694{col 65}{space 4}-.4069506{col 78}{space 3}  .611412
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4081835{col 37}{space 2} .2008241{col 48}{space 1}    2.03{col 57}{space 3}0.042{col 65}{space 4} .0145755{col 78}{space 3} .8017916
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.004847{col 37}{space 2} 2.794136{col 48}{space 1}    0.72{col 57}{space 3}0.473{col 65}{space 4}-3.471558{col 78}{space 3} 7.481253
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0103727{col 37}{space 2} .0206841{col 48}{space 1}   -0.50{col 57}{space 3}0.616{col 65}{space 4}-.0509128{col 78}{space 3} .0301674
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0212752{col 37}{space 2} .0315536{col 48}{space 1}    0.67{col 57}{space 3}0.500{col 65}{space 4}-.0405687{col 78}{space 3}  .083119
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6781611{col 37}{space 2} .2667102{col 48}{space 1}   -2.54{col 57}{space 3}0.011{col 65}{space 4}-1.200903{col 78}{space 3}-.1554188
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2672268{col 37}{space 2} .7362867{col 48}{space 1}   -0.36{col 57}{space 3}0.717{col 65}{space 4}-1.710322{col 78}{space 3} 1.175869
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7003805{col 37}{space 2} .8643423{col 48}{space 1}   -0.81{col 57}{space 3}0.418{col 65}{space 4} -2.39446{col 78}{space 3} .9936992
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0082242{col 37}{space 2} .0058711{col 48}{space 1}   -1.40{col 57}{space 3}0.161{col 65}{space 4}-.0197313{col 78}{space 3}  .003283
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5048507{col 37}{space 2} 2.064948{col 48}{space 1}    0.24{col 57}{space 3}0.807{col 65}{space 4}-3.542372{col 78}{space 3} 4.552074
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.024158{col 37}{space 2} .0133328{col 48}{space 1}   -1.81{col 57}{space 3}0.070{col 65}{space 4}-.0502898{col 78}{space 3} .0019738
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.724103{col 37}{space 2} .6464917{col 48}{space 1}   -1.12{col 57}{space 3}0.263{col 65}{space 4}-1.991203{col 78}{space 3} .5429974
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3758176{col 37}{space 2} .2117253{col 48}{space 1}    1.78{col 57}{space 3}0.076{col 65}{space 4}-.0391564{col 78}{space 3} .7907916
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2433752{col 37}{space 2} .1527136{col 48}{space 1}   -1.59{col 57}{space 3}0.111{col 65}{space 4}-.5426884{col 78}{space 3}  .055938
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4163132{col 37}{space 2} .3977835{col 48}{space 1}    1.05{col 57}{space 3}0.295{col 65}{space 4}-.3633281{col 78}{space 3} 1.195954
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -11.9566{col 37}{space 2} .5577416{col 48}{space 1}  -21.44{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-13.04975{col 78}{space 3}-10.86345
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}       -1{col 37}{space 2} 9.19e-11{col 65}{space 4}       -1{col 78}{space 3}       -1
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}  459.57   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Non-Democracies
. heckprob successalt shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2<6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      200
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}       86
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      114

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    23.68
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-189.7697                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0026

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}successalt              {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0525602{col 37}{space 2} .0299561{col 48}{space 1}    1.75{col 57}{space 3}0.079{col 65}{space 4}-.0061528{col 78}{space 3} .1112732
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.044646{col 37}{space 2} .9599979{col 48}{space 1}   -1.09{col 57}{space 3}0.277{col 65}{space 4}-2.926207{col 78}{space 3} .8369154
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3527484{col 37}{space 2} .2917136{col 48}{space 1}    1.21{col 57}{space 3}0.227{col 65}{space 4}-.2189997{col 78}{space 3} .9244965
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2222619{col 37}{space 2} .1838778{col 48}{space 1}    1.21{col 57}{space 3}0.227{col 65}{space 4} -.138132{col 78}{space 3} .5826558
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.451134{col 37}{space 2} 1.896698{col 48}{space 1}    1.29{col 57}{space 3}0.196{col 65}{space 4}-1.266327{col 78}{space 3} 6.168594
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0329078{col 37}{space 2} .0687406{col 48}{space 1}   -0.48{col 57}{space 3}0.632{col 65}{space 4}-.1676369{col 78}{space 3} .1018214
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0956311{col 37}{space 2} .0310978{col 48}{space 1}    3.08{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4} .0346807{col 78}{space 3} .1565816
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1992996{col 37}{space 2} .2820969{col 48}{space 1}   -0.71{col 57}{space 3}0.480{col 65}{space 4}-.7521994{col 78}{space 3} .3536001
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5363379{col 37}{space 2} .8190269{col 48}{space 1}   -0.65{col 57}{space 3}0.513{col 65}{space 4}-2.141601{col 78}{space 3} 1.068925
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5410098{col 37}{space 2} .6611499{col 48}{space 1}    0.82{col 57}{space 3}0.413{col 65}{space 4}-.7548203{col 78}{space 3}  1.83684
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0317776{col 37}{space 2} .0418138{col 48}{space 1}   -0.76{col 57}{space 3}0.447{col 65}{space 4}-.1137311{col 78}{space 3} .0501758
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .489002{col 37}{space 2} 1.242084{col 48}{space 1}    0.39{col 57}{space 3}0.694{col 65}{space 4}-1.945439{col 78}{space 3} 2.923442
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0419523{col 37}{space 2} .0330137{col 48}{space 1}   -1.27{col 57}{space 3}0.204{col 65}{space 4}-.1066579{col 78}{space 3} .0227532
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0975397{col 37}{space 2} .6645627{col 48}{space 1}   -0.15{col 57}{space 3}0.883{col 65}{space 4}-1.400059{col 78}{space 3} 1.204979
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0661323{col 37}{space 2} .2465452{col 48}{space 1}    0.27{col 57}{space 3}0.789{col 65}{space 4}-.4170873{col 78}{space 3}  .549352
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7101359{col 37}{space 2} .1969673{col 48}{space 1}   -3.61{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-1.096185{col 78}{space 3}-.3240871
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4083286{col 37}{space 2} .3409032{col 48}{space 1}    1.20{col 57}{space 3}0.231{col 65}{space 4}-.2598293{col 78}{space 3} 1.076487
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2659259{col 37}{space 2} .9498951{col 48}{space 1}   -0.28{col 57}{space 3}0.780{col 65}{space 4}-2.127686{col 78}{space 3} 1.595834
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.2598298{col 37}{space 2} .8857663{col 65}{space 4}-.9720213{col 78}{space 3} .9210391
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.08   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.7795
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Appendix Table A3- Sum Stats
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      832
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      455
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      377

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    28.28
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-721.3224                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0004

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0452174{col 37}{space 2} .0213958{col 48}{space 1}    2.11{col 57}{space 3}0.035{col 65}{space 4} .0032824{col 78}{space 3} .0871524
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0620857{col 37}{space 2} .6324548{col 48}{space 1}    0.10{col 57}{space 3}0.922{col 65}{space 4}-1.177503{col 78}{space 3} 1.301674
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .417674{col 37}{space 2} .2014863{col 48}{space 1}    2.07{col 57}{space 3}0.038{col 65}{space 4} .0227681{col 78}{space 3}   .81258
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3145668{col 37}{space 2} .1263399{col 48}{space 1}    2.49{col 57}{space 3}0.013{col 65}{space 4} .0669452{col 78}{space 3} .5621884
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.099275{col 37}{space 2} 1.014835{col 48}{space 1}   -1.08{col 57}{space 3}0.279{col 65}{space 4}-3.088315{col 78}{space 3} .8897643
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0313373{col 37}{space 2} .0127702{col 48}{space 1}   -2.45{col 57}{space 3}0.014{col 65}{space 4}-.0563665{col 78}{space 3}-.0063081
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0355767{col 37}{space 2}  .014678{col 48}{space 1}    2.42{col 57}{space 3}0.015{col 65}{space 4} .0068082{col 78}{space 3} .0643451
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0178396{col 37}{space 2}  .163114{col 48}{space 1}    0.11{col 57}{space 3}0.913{col 65}{space 4} -.301858{col 78}{space 3} .3375373
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.881512{col 37}{space 2} .3729007{col 48}{space 1}   -5.05{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-2.612384{col 78}{space 3} -1.15064
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3469727{col 37}{space 2} .3914686{col 48}{space 1}    0.89{col 57}{space 3}0.375{col 65}{space 4}-.4202917{col 78}{space 3} 1.114237
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0095293{col 37}{space 2} .0055301{col 48}{space 1}   -1.72{col 57}{space 3}0.085{col 65}{space 4} -.020368{col 78}{space 3} .0013094
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0535564{col 37}{space 2} .6844216{col 48}{space 1}    0.08{col 57}{space 3}0.938{col 65}{space 4}-1.287885{col 78}{space 3} 1.394998
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0126919{col 37}{space 2} .0060425{col 48}{space 1}   -2.10{col 57}{space 3}0.036{col 65}{space 4} -.024535{col 78}{space 3}-.0008487
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4268934{col 37}{space 2} .1798547{col 48}{space 1}    2.37{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4} .0743847{col 78}{space 3} .7794021
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1186326{col 37}{space 2}  .107911{col 48}{space 1}   -1.10{col 57}{space 3}0.272{col 65}{space 4}-.3301342{col 78}{space 3} .0928691
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0109014{col 37}{space 2} .0927808{col 48}{space 1}    0.12{col 57}{space 3}0.906{col 65}{space 4}-.1709456{col 78}{space 3} .1927483
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0037986{col 37}{space 2} .1953558{col 48}{space 1}    0.02{col 57}{space 3}0.984{col 65}{space 4}-.3790917{col 78}{space 3}  .386689
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6642172{col 37}{space 2} .5986604{col 48}{space 1}    1.11{col 57}{space 3}0.267{col 65}{space 4}-.5091355{col 78}{space 3}  1.83757
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .5811631{col 37}{space 2} .3964625{col 65}{space 4}-.4692714{col 78}{space 3} .9505614
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    1.23   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.2672
{txt}
{com}. sum impositionsuccess shadecondiff100 imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender imposition selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar if e(sample)

{txt}    Variable {c |}       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 56}
imposition~s {c |}{res}       759    .0988142    .2986092          0          1
{txt}shadecon~100 {c |}{res}       385   -1.788704    3.221855  -18.06886   11.08505
{txt}imposedsha~n {c |}{res}       385    .3080314    .1577783    .085865   .7535495
{txt}{space 1}institution {c |}{res}       823    .2442284    .4298901          0          1
{txt}{space 1}targetcosts {c |}{res}       377    1.270557    .5564018          1          3
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 56}
imposeddya~p {c |}{res}       385    .0422573    .0769883          0   .5734494
{txt}imposed~1000 {c |}{res}       385    11.85287    11.01027     .28755   42.53546
{txt}imposedpo~20 {c |}{res}       385    14.41821    6.740627       .875         20
{txt}{space 4}USsender {c |}{res}       832    .5252404    .4996629          0          1
{txt}{space 2}imposition {c |}{res}       832     .453125    .4980973          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 56}
selecprior~n {c |}{res}       832    .2976078    .1561052    .081833    .978325
{txt}{space 2}capability {c |}{res}       832    9.830268    68.47603   .0001397   1048.108
{txt}seldyadtra~p {c |}{res}       832    .0428606    .0751597          0   .7685405
{txt}selectt~1000 {c |}{res}       832    12.68388    10.97902     .19901   57.23948
{txt}alliancese~t {c |}{res}       832    .0817308    .2741189          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 56}
{space 3}USsender2 {c |}{res}       832    .5252404    .4996629          0          1
{txt}{space 1}postcoldwar {c |}{res}       832    .5384615    .4988184          0          1
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Appendix Table A4- The impact on Different Authoritarin regimes
. *(Minor Trade and Envr Sanctions Excluded)
. *Personalist Regimes
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100 imposedshadecon moncpersonshadecondiff100 monarchpersonal military party   institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      429
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      218

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})      = {res}    25.71
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-381.8996                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0072

{txt}{hline 26}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 27}{c |}{col 39}    Robust
{col 27}{c |}      Coef.{col 39}   Std. Err.{col 51}      z{col 59}   P>|z|{col 67}     [95% Con{col 80}f. Interval]
{hline 26}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess         {txt}{c |}
{space 10}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0435971{col 39}{space 2} .0355621{col 50}{space 1}    1.23{col 59}{space 3}0.220{col 67}{space 4}-.0261034{col 80}{space 3} .1132976
{txt}{space 10}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}  .460799{col 39}{space 2} .7650216{col 50}{space 1}    0.60{col 59}{space 3}0.547{col 67}{space 4}-1.038616{col 80}{space 3} 1.960214
{txt}moncpersonshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}    .0272{col 39}{space 2} .0548402{col 50}{space 1}    0.50{col 59}{space 3}0.620{col 67}{space 4}-.0802848{col 80}{space 3} .1346849
{txt}{space 10}monarchpersonal {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.4074217{col 39}{space 2} .2784139{col 50}{space 1}   -1.46{col 59}{space 3}0.143{col 67}{space 4}-.9531029{col 80}{space 3} .1382595
{txt}{space 17}military {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-1.090754{col 39}{space 2} .3500996{col 50}{space 1}   -3.12{col 59}{space 3}0.002{col 67}{space 4}-1.776936{col 80}{space 3}-.4045712
{txt}{space 20}party {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-1.153834{col 39}{space 2} .3449561{col 50}{space 1}   -3.34{col 59}{space 3}0.001{col 67}{space 4}-1.829935{col 80}{space 3}-.4777325
{txt}{space 14}institution {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .5965914{col 39}{space 2} .2365768{col 50}{space 1}    2.52{col 59}{space 3}0.012{col 67}{space 4} .1329094{col 80}{space 3} 1.060273
{txt}{space 14}targetcosts {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .0737515{col 39}{space 2} .1404153{col 50}{space 1}    0.53{col 59}{space 3}0.599{col 67}{space 4}-.2014575{col 80}{space 3} .3489604
{txt}{space 6}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} 1.297047{col 39}{space 2} 1.583532{col 50}{space 1}    0.82{col 59}{space 3}0.413{col 67}{space 4}-1.806619{col 80}{space 3} 4.400713
{txt}{space 5}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0390209{col 39}{space 2} .0271061{col 50}{space 1}   -1.44{col 59}{space 3}0.150{col 67}{space 4}-.0921479{col 80}{space 3}  .014106
{txt}{space 17}USsender {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.1810638{col 39}{space 2} .2157737{col 50}{space 1}   -0.84{col 59}{space 3}0.401{col 67}{space 4}-.6039725{col 80}{space 3} .2418449
{txt}{space 20}_cons {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .2808187{col 39}{space 2} .5746837{col 50}{space 1}    0.49{col 59}{space 3}0.625{col 67}{space 4}-.8455407{col 80}{space 3} 1.407178
{txt}{hline 26}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition                {txt}{c |}
{space 2}selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .2760909{col 39}{space 2} .5041603{col 50}{space 1}    0.55{col 59}{space 3}0.584{col 67}{space 4}-.7120451{col 80}{space 3} 1.264227
{txt}{space 15}capability {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0080752{col 39}{space 2} .0056249{col 50}{space 1}   -1.44{col 59}{space 3}0.151{col 67}{space 4}-.0190998{col 80}{space 3} .0029494
{txt}{space 10}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .2528488{col 39}{space 2} 1.204901{col 50}{space 1}    0.21{col 59}{space 3}0.834{col 67}{space 4}-2.108713{col 80}{space 3}  2.61441
{txt}{space 6}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.0204061{col 39}{space 2} .0097204{col 50}{space 1}   -2.10{col 59}{space 3}0.036{col 67}{space 4}-.0394578{col 80}{space 3}-.0013544
{txt}{space 11}allianceselect {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.2020901{col 39}{space 2} .3586485{col 50}{space 1}   -0.56{col 59}{space 3}0.573{col 67}{space 4}-.9050284{col 80}{space 3} .5008481
{txt}{space 16}USsender2 {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2} .2670984{col 39}{space 2} .1437538{col 50}{space 1}    1.86{col 59}{space 3}0.063{col 67}{space 4}-.0146539{col 80}{space 3} .5488508
{txt}{space 14}postcoldwar {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.4914664{col 39}{space 2} .1301514{col 50}{space 1}   -3.78{col 59}{space 3}0.000{col 67}{space 4}-.7465584{col 80}{space 3}-.2363744
{txt}{space 20}_cons {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}  .235858{col 39}{space 2} .2515775{col 50}{space 1}    0.94{col 59}{space 3}0.348{col 67}{space 4}-.2572248{col 80}{space 3} .7289408
{txt}{hline 26}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                  /athrho {c |}{col 27}{res}{space 2}-.6697837{col 39}{space 2} .7284633{col 50}{space 1}   -0.92{col 59}{space 3}0.358{col 67}{space 4}-2.097546{col 80}{space 3} .7579781
{txt}{hline 26}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                      rho{col 27}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5848376{col 39}{space 2} .4793034{col 67}{space 4}-.9703087{col 80}{space 3} .6398845
{txt}{hline 26}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.85   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.3579
{txt}
{com}. *Military Regimes
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100 imposedshadecon militaryshadecondiff100 monarchpersonal military party institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      429
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      218

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})      = {res}    26.19
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-381.0806                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0061

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0375524{col 37}{space 2}  .030818{col 48}{space 1}    1.22{col 57}{space 3}0.223{col 65}{space 4}-.0228498{col 78}{space 3} .0979546
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4324315{col 37}{space 2} .7515523{col 48}{space 1}    0.58{col 57}{space 3}0.565{col 65}{space 4}-1.040584{col 78}{space 3} 1.905447
{txt}militaryshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1564499{col 37}{space 2} .1106181{col 48}{space 1}    1.41{col 57}{space 3}0.157{col 65}{space 4}-.0603575{col 78}{space 3} .3732573
{txt}{space 8}monarchpersonal {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3817877{col 37}{space 2}  .270594{col 48}{space 1}   -1.41{col 57}{space 3}0.158{col 65}{space 4}-.9121422{col 78}{space 3} .1485669
{txt}{space 15}military {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.025587{col 37}{space 2} .3602251{col 48}{space 1}   -2.85{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}-1.731615{col 78}{space 3}-.3195586
{txt}{space 18}party {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.135115{col 37}{space 2} .3476251{col 48}{space 1}   -3.27{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4}-1.816448{col 78}{space 3}-.4537824
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5848788{col 37}{space 2} .2353242{col 48}{space 1}    2.49{col 57}{space 3}0.013{col 65}{space 4} .1236518{col 78}{space 3} 1.046106
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .062991{col 37}{space 2} .1379912{col 48}{space 1}    0.46{col 57}{space 3}0.648{col 65}{space 4}-.2074668{col 78}{space 3} .3334487
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.027777{col 37}{space 2} 1.593641{col 48}{space 1}    0.64{col 57}{space 3}0.519{col 65}{space 4}-2.095701{col 78}{space 3} 4.151256
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.037776{col 37}{space 2} .0265668{col 48}{space 1}   -1.42{col 57}{space 3}0.155{col 65}{space 4} -.089846{col 78}{space 3}  .014294
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1421531{col 37}{space 2} .2158088{col 48}{space 1}   -0.66{col 57}{space 3}0.510{col 65}{space 4}-.5651306{col 78}{space 3} .2808244
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2912635{col 37}{space 2}  .552742{col 48}{space 1}    0.53{col 57}{space 3}0.598{col 65}{space 4} -.792091{col 78}{space 3} 1.374618
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2785061{col 37}{space 2} .5041503{col 48}{space 1}    0.55{col 57}{space 3}0.581{col 65}{space 4}-.7096104{col 78}{space 3} 1.266623
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0079673{col 37}{space 2} .0055806{col 48}{space 1}   -1.43{col 57}{space 3}0.153{col 65}{space 4}-.0189052{col 78}{space 3} .0029705
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2411946{col 37}{space 2} 1.202778{col 48}{space 1}    0.20{col 57}{space 3}0.841{col 65}{space 4}-2.116208{col 78}{space 3} 2.598597
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0203847{col 37}{space 2} .0097213{col 48}{space 1}   -2.10{col 57}{space 3}0.036{col 65}{space 4}-.0394381{col 78}{space 3}-.0013314
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2036967{col 37}{space 2} .3559344{col 48}{space 1}   -0.57{col 57}{space 3}0.567{col 65}{space 4}-.9013153{col 78}{space 3} .4939219
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2685582{col 37}{space 2} .1438458{col 48}{space 1}    1.87{col 57}{space 3}0.062{col 65}{space 4}-.0133744{col 78}{space 3} .5504908
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4916316{col 37}{space 2} .1299899{col 48}{space 1}   -3.78{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.7464072{col 78}{space 3}-.2368561
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2340542{col 37}{space 2} .2524148{col 48}{space 1}    0.93{col 57}{space 3}0.354{col 65}{space 4}-.2606697{col 78}{space 3} .7287781
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7131609{col 37}{space 2} .7204423{col 48}{space 1}   -0.99{col 57}{space 3}0.322{col 65}{space 4}-2.125202{col 78}{space 3} .6988801
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.6126551{col 37}{space 2} .4500269{col 65}{space 4}-.9718839{col 78}{space 3} .6036564
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.98   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.3222
{txt}
{com}. *Single Party Regimes
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100 imposedshadecon partyshadecondiff100 monarchpersonal military party institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      429
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      218

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})      = {res}    22.16
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-378.7878                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0232

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .086713{col 37}{space 2} .0394029{col 48}{space 1}    2.20{col 57}{space 3}0.028{col 65}{space 4} .0094847{col 78}{space 3} .1639413
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4601689{col 37}{space 2} .6726523{col 48}{space 1}    0.68{col 57}{space 3}0.494{col 65}{space 4}-.8582054{col 78}{space 3} 1.778543
{txt}{space 3}partyshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1191297{col 37}{space 2} .0654042{col 48}{space 1}   -1.82{col 57}{space 3}0.069{col 65}{space 4}-.2473195{col 78}{space 3} .0090601
{txt}{space 8}monarchpersonal {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3385006{col 37}{space 2} .3345471{col 48}{space 1}   -1.01{col 57}{space 3}0.312{col 65}{space 4}-.9942009{col 78}{space 3} .3171998
{txt}{space 15}military {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.9437237{col 37}{space 2} .4517583{col 48}{space 1}   -2.09{col 57}{space 3}0.037{col 65}{space 4}-1.829154{col 78}{space 3}-.0582936
{txt}{space 18}party {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.220033{col 37}{space 2} .7351796{col 48}{space 1}   -1.66{col 57}{space 3}0.097{col 65}{space 4}-2.660959{col 78}{space 3} .2208922
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4937377{col 37}{space 2} .3222587{col 48}{space 1}    1.53{col 57}{space 3}0.125{col 65}{space 4}-.1378777{col 78}{space 3} 1.125353
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0256781{col 37}{space 2} .1282857{col 48}{space 1}    0.20{col 57}{space 3}0.841{col 65}{space 4}-.2257572{col 78}{space 3} .2771133
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7664328{col 37}{space 2} 1.496206{col 48}{space 1}    0.51{col 57}{space 3}0.608{col 65}{space 4}-2.166078{col 78}{space 3} 3.698943
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0201109{col 37}{space 2} .0366318{col 48}{space 1}   -0.55{col 57}{space 3}0.583{col 65}{space 4} -.091908{col 78}{space 3} .0516862
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1773717{col 37}{space 2} .1901073{col 48}{space 1}   -0.93{col 57}{space 3}0.351{col 65}{space 4}-.5499752{col 78}{space 3} .1952318
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5239866{col 37}{space 2} .4582356{col 48}{space 1}    1.14{col 57}{space 3}0.253{col 65}{space 4}-.3741387{col 78}{space 3} 1.422112
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3307491{col 37}{space 2} .5276116{col 48}{space 1}    0.63{col 57}{space 3}0.531{col 65}{space 4}-.7033507{col 78}{space 3} 1.364849
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0065098{col 37}{space 2} .0065141{col 48}{space 1}   -1.00{col 57}{space 3}0.318{col 65}{space 4}-.0192773{col 78}{space 3} .0062577
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1718918{col 37}{space 2} 1.360642{col 48}{space 1}    0.13{col 57}{space 3}0.899{col 65}{space 4}-2.494918{col 78}{space 3} 2.838701
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0206542{col 37}{space 2} .0096571{col 48}{space 1}   -2.14{col 57}{space 3}0.032{col 65}{space 4}-.0395818{col 78}{space 3}-.0017266
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2596893{col 37}{space 2} .3388134{col 48}{space 1}   -0.77{col 57}{space 3}0.443{col 65}{space 4}-.9237513{col 78}{space 3} .4043727
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2742363{col 37}{space 2} .1431377{col 48}{space 1}    1.92{col 57}{space 3}0.055{col 65}{space 4}-.0063085{col 78}{space 3} .5547811
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4636599{col 37}{space 2} .2051352{col 48}{space 1}   -2.26{col 57}{space 3}0.024{col 65}{space 4}-.8657176{col 78}{space 3}-.0616022
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2019502{col 37}{space 2} .2841287{col 48}{space 1}    0.71{col 57}{space 3}0.477{col 65}{space 4}-.3549319{col 78}{space 3} .7588323
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.333361{col 37}{space 2} 1.642591{col 48}{space 1}   -0.81{col 57}{space 3}0.417{col 65}{space 4} -4.55278{col 78}{space 3} 1.886058
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.8700683{col 37}{space 2} .3991185{col 65}{space 4}-.9997779{col 78}{space 3} .9550279
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.66   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.4169
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Appendix Table A5- Change in SE variable based on the average SE score 3-year and 5-year prior to sanctions
. *3-YEAR SCORE
. *(Minor Trade and Environmental Sanctions Excluded)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess threeshadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      424
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      213

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    28.61
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-376.9989                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0004

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 3}threeshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0605843{col 37}{space 2} .0221159{col 48}{space 1}    2.74{col 57}{space 3}0.006{col 65}{space 4} .0172379{col 78}{space 3} .1039308
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6055238{col 37}{space 2} .8064328{col 48}{space 1}    0.75{col 57}{space 3}0.453{col 65}{space 4}-.9750553{col 78}{space 3} 2.186103
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5413699{col 37}{space 2} .2375701{col 48}{space 1}    2.28{col 57}{space 3}0.023{col 65}{space 4}  .075741{col 78}{space 3} 1.006999
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .090327{col 37}{space 2} .1493385{col 48}{space 1}    0.60{col 57}{space 3}0.545{col 65}{space 4}-.2023712{col 78}{space 3} .3830251
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .9707044{col 37}{space 2} 1.635027{col 48}{space 1}    0.59{col 57}{space 3}0.553{col 65}{space 4}-2.233889{col 78}{space 3} 4.175298
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0593905{col 37}{space 2} .0293519{col 48}{space 1}   -2.02{col 57}{space 3}0.043{col 65}{space 4}-.1169191{col 78}{space 3}-.0018618
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0849231{col 37}{space 2} .0224275{col 48}{space 1}    3.79{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} .0409661{col 78}{space 3} .1288801
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.400133{col 37}{space 2} .2228285{col 48}{space 1}   -1.80{col 57}{space 3}0.073{col 65}{space 4}-.8368688{col 78}{space 3} .0366029
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.036197{col 37}{space 2} .8031162{col 48}{space 1}   -1.29{col 57}{space 3}0.197{col 65}{space 4}-2.610276{col 78}{space 3} .5378818
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3101593{col 37}{space 2} .5110948{col 48}{space 1}    0.61{col 57}{space 3}0.544{col 65}{space 4}-.6915682{col 78}{space 3} 1.311887
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.008091{col 37}{space 2}  .005731{col 48}{space 1}   -1.41{col 57}{space 3}0.158{col 65}{space 4}-.0193235{col 78}{space 3} .0031415
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .297211{col 37}{space 2} 1.175174{col 48}{space 1}    0.25{col 57}{space 3}0.800{col 65}{space 4}-2.006089{col 78}{space 3} 2.600511
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0180994{col 37}{space 2} .0096436{col 48}{space 1}   -1.88{col 57}{space 3}0.061{col 65}{space 4}-.0370006{col 78}{space 3} .0008018
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1471015{col 37}{space 2} .3598369{col 48}{space 1}   -0.41{col 57}{space 3}0.683{col 65}{space 4}-.8523689{col 78}{space 3} .5581658
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2891269{col 37}{space 2} .1457332{col 48}{space 1}    1.98{col 57}{space 3}0.047{col 65}{space 4} .0034952{col 78}{space 3} .5747587
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4714597{col 37}{space 2} .1286146{col 48}{space 1}   -3.67{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.7235397{col 78}{space 3}-.2193797
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1715552{col 37}{space 2} .2531411{col 48}{space 1}    0.68{col 57}{space 3}0.498{col 65}{space 4}-.3245922{col 78}{space 3} .6677027
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5525676{col 37}{space 2}  .671487{col 48}{space 1}   -0.82{col 57}{space 3}0.411{col 65}{space 4}-1.868658{col 78}{space 3} .7635228
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5024421{col 37}{space 2} .5019714{col 65}{space 4}-.9534723{col 78}{space 3} .6431473
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.68   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.4106
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess threeshadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2>=6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      228
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      125
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      103

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    24.13
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-187.6846                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0022

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 3}threeshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1765901{col 37}{space 2} .0624987{col 48}{space 1}    2.83{col 57}{space 3}0.005{col 65}{space 4} .0540948{col 78}{space 3} .2990853
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.393491{col 37}{space 2} 1.433259{col 48}{space 1}    1.67{col 57}{space 3}0.095{col 65}{space 4}-.4156444{col 78}{space 3} 5.202627
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5741807{col 37}{space 2} .4876371{col 48}{space 1}    1.18{col 57}{space 3}0.239{col 65}{space 4}-.3815704{col 78}{space 3} 1.529932
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2623985{col 37}{space 2} .2403291{col 48}{space 1}    1.09{col 57}{space 3}0.275{col 65}{space 4}-.2086379{col 78}{space 3} .7334349
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  3.12412{col 37}{space 2} 3.743392{col 48}{space 1}    0.83{col 57}{space 3}0.404{col 65}{space 4}-4.212795{col 78}{space 3} 10.46103
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.110463{col 37}{space 2} .0385934{col 48}{space 1}   -2.86{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}-.1861047{col 78}{space 3}-.0348212
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5576862{col 37}{space 2} .1731656{col 48}{space 1}    3.22{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} .2182879{col 78}{space 3} .8970845
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7358931{col 37}{space 2} .4389464{col 48}{space 1}   -1.68{col 57}{space 3}0.094{col 65}{space 4}-1.596212{col 78}{space 3} .1244261
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-10.29164{col 37}{space 2} 3.298805{col 48}{space 1}   -3.12{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4}-16.75718{col 78}{space 3}-3.826103
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5199289{col 37}{space 2} .8929589{col 48}{space 1}   -0.58{col 57}{space 3}0.560{col 65}{space 4}-2.270096{col 78}{space 3} 1.230238
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0063746{col 37}{space 2} .0045308{col 48}{space 1}   -1.41{col 57}{space 3}0.159{col 65}{space 4}-.0152548{col 78}{space 3} .0025057
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4109461{col 37}{space 2} 1.951536{col 48}{space 1}   -0.21{col 57}{space 3}0.833{col 65}{space 4}-4.235886{col 78}{space 3} 3.413994
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0215972{col 37}{space 2} .0134139{col 48}{space 1}   -1.61{col 57}{space 3}0.107{col 65}{space 4} -.047888{col 78}{space 3} .0046936
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2887723{col 37}{space 2} .5337505{col 48}{space 1}   -0.54{col 57}{space 3}0.588{col 65}{space 4}-1.334904{col 78}{space 3} .7573594
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4883075{col 37}{space 2} .2129081{col 48}{space 1}    2.29{col 57}{space 3}0.022{col 65}{space 4} .0710153{col 78}{space 3} .9055997
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2565635{col 37}{space 2} .1897028{col 48}{space 1}   -1.35{col 57}{space 3}0.176{col 65}{space 4}-.6283741{col 78}{space 3}  .115247
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2690792{col 37}{space 2}  .409404{col 48}{space 1}    0.66{col 57}{space 3}0.511{col 65}{space 4} -.533338{col 78}{space 3} 1.071496
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0884183{col 37}{space 2} .5630673{col 48}{space 1}   -0.16{col 57}{space 3}0.875{col 65}{space 4} -1.19201{col 78}{space 3} 1.015173
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.0881886{col 37}{space 2} .5586881{col 65}{space 4}-.8312012{col 78}{space 3} .7678933
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.02   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.8752
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Non-Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess threeshadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2<6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      196
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}       86
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      110

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    15.92
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -173.585                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0436

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 3}threeshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0346112{col 37}{space 2} .0310197{col 48}{space 1}    1.12{col 57}{space 3}0.265{col 65}{space 4}-.0261862{col 78}{space 3} .0954086
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .9457051{col 37}{space 2} .9579266{col 48}{space 1}    0.99{col 57}{space 3}0.324{col 65}{space 4}-.9317966{col 78}{space 3} 2.823207
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6089981{col 37}{space 2} .3095306{col 48}{space 1}    1.97{col 57}{space 3}0.049{col 65}{space 4} .0023292{col 78}{space 3} 1.215667
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0022772{col 37}{space 2} .1994937{col 48}{space 1}    0.01{col 57}{space 3}0.991{col 65}{space 4}-.3887233{col 78}{space 3} .3932776
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.8003897{col 37}{space 2} 2.315489{col 48}{space 1}   -0.35{col 57}{space 3}0.730{col 65}{space 4}-5.338665{col 78}{space 3} 3.737885
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0174844{col 37}{space 2} .0644475{col 48}{space 1}   -0.27{col 57}{space 3}0.786{col 65}{space 4}-.1437991{col 78}{space 3} .1088304
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1139057{col 37}{space 2} .0430614{col 48}{space 1}    2.65{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4} .0295068{col 78}{space 3} .1983046
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0094065{col 37}{space 2} .3175872{col 48}{space 1}    0.03{col 57}{space 3}0.976{col 65}{space 4} -.613053{col 78}{space 3}  .631866
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.165822{col 37}{space 2} .6252748{col 48}{space 1}   -3.46{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4}-3.391338{col 78}{space 3}-.9403062
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .563754{col 37}{space 2} .6658482{col 48}{space 1}    0.85{col 57}{space 3}0.397{col 65}{space 4}-.7412844{col 78}{space 3} 1.868792
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0409845{col 37}{space 2} .0307253{col 48}{space 1}   -1.33{col 57}{space 3}0.182{col 65}{space 4} -.101205{col 78}{space 3} .0192359
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4557665{col 37}{space 2} 1.230806{col 48}{space 1}    0.37{col 57}{space 3}0.711{col 65}{space 4}-1.956569{col 78}{space 3} 2.868102
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.033878{col 37}{space 2} .0316891{col 48}{space 1}   -1.07{col 57}{space 3}0.285{col 65}{space 4}-.0959876{col 78}{space 3} .0282315
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1695443{col 37}{space 2} .5625385{col 48}{space 1}   -0.30{col 57}{space 3}0.763{col 65}{space 4}-1.272099{col 78}{space 3} .9330108
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0030612{col 37}{space 2} .2228884{col 48}{space 1}   -0.01{col 57}{space 3}0.989{col 65}{space 4}-.4399144{col 78}{space 3}  .433792
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6343239{col 37}{space 2} .2183734{col 48}{space 1}   -2.90{col 57}{space 3}0.004{col 65}{space 4}-1.062328{col 78}{space 3}-.2063198
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3819668{col 37}{space 2} .3521447{col 48}{space 1}    1.08{col 57}{space 3}0.278{col 65}{space 4} -.308224{col 78}{space 3} 1.072158
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5669466{col 37}{space 2} .7098309{col 48}{space 1}    0.80{col 57}{space 3}0.424{col 65}{space 4}-.8242965{col 78}{space 3}  1.95819
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .5131133{col 37}{space 2} .5229429{col 65}{space 4}-.6774016{col 78}{space 3} .9609515
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.64   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.4245
{txt}
{com}. *5-YEAR SCORE
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess fiveshadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      410
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      199

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    43.45
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-356.9697                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 4}fiveshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0526279{col 37}{space 2} .0222191{col 48}{space 1}    2.37{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4} .0090792{col 78}{space 3} .0961765
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .8136086{col 37}{space 2} .9090729{col 48}{space 1}    0.89{col 57}{space 3}0.371{col 65}{space 4}-.9681416{col 78}{space 3} 2.595359
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .652395{col 37}{space 2} .2592073{col 48}{space 1}    2.52{col 57}{space 3}0.012{col 65}{space 4} .1443581{col 78}{space 3} 1.160432
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0914961{col 37}{space 2} .1680721{col 48}{space 1}    0.54{col 57}{space 3}0.586{col 65}{space 4}-.2379192{col 78}{space 3} .4209113
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.492614{col 37}{space 2} 1.641801{col 48}{space 1}    0.91{col 57}{space 3}0.363{col 65}{space 4}-1.725256{col 78}{space 3} 4.710484
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0712811{col 37}{space 2} .0241185{col 48}{space 1}   -2.96{col 57}{space 3}0.003{col 65}{space 4}-.1185525{col 78}{space 3}-.0240096
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0907435{col 37}{space 2} .0208146{col 48}{space 1}    4.36{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} .0499476{col 78}{space 3} .1315394
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.473879{col 37}{space 2} .2764925{col 48}{space 1}   -1.71{col 57}{space 3}0.087{col 65}{space 4}-1.015794{col 78}{space 3} .0680364
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.645164{col 37}{space 2} .7668688{col 48}{space 1}   -2.15{col 57}{space 3}0.032{col 65}{space 4}-3.148199{col 78}{space 3}-.1421289
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3180592{col 37}{space 2} .5017332{col 48}{space 1}    0.63{col 57}{space 3}0.526{col 65}{space 4}-.6653198{col 78}{space 3} 1.301438
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0081356{col 37}{space 2} .0059449{col 48}{space 1}   -1.37{col 57}{space 3}0.171{col 65}{space 4}-.0197873{col 78}{space 3} .0035162
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4799936{col 37}{space 2} 1.108569{col 48}{space 1}    0.43{col 57}{space 3}0.665{col 65}{space 4}-1.692761{col 78}{space 3} 2.652748
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0174759{col 37}{space 2} .0096076{col 48}{space 1}   -1.82{col 57}{space 3}0.069{col 65}{space 4}-.0363064{col 78}{space 3} .0013547
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1030759{col 37}{space 2} .3714633{col 48}{space 1}   -0.28{col 57}{space 3}0.781{col 65}{space 4}-.8311305{col 78}{space 3} .6249787
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2490837{col 37}{space 2} .1479725{col 48}{space 1}    1.68{col 57}{space 3}0.092{col 65}{space 4}-.0409371{col 78}{space 3} .5391044
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4124782{col 37}{space 2} .1350731{col 48}{space 1}   -3.05{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4}-.6772167{col 78}{space 3}-.1477398
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1138636{col 37}{space 2} .2501345{col 48}{space 1}    0.46{col 57}{space 3}0.649{col 65}{space 4}-.3763911{col 78}{space 3} .6041182
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .070024{col 37}{space 2} .7805748{col 48}{space 1}    0.09{col 57}{space 3}0.929{col 65}{space 4}-1.459875{col 78}{space 3} 1.599923
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .0699098{col 37}{space 2} .7767599{col 65}{space 4}-.8976282{col 78}{space 3} .9216569
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.01   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.9285
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess fiveshadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2>=6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      218
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      125
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}       93

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    20.49
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-176.7259                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0086

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 4}fiveshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1191588{col 37}{space 2} .0521536{col 48}{space 1}    2.28{col 57}{space 3}0.022{col 65}{space 4} .0169395{col 78}{space 3}  .221378
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  2.06525{col 37}{space 2} 1.620192{col 48}{space 1}    1.27{col 57}{space 3}0.202{col 65}{space 4}-1.110269{col 78}{space 3} 5.240768
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3634613{col 37}{space 2} .5107129{col 48}{space 1}    0.71{col 57}{space 3}0.477{col 65}{space 4}-.6375176{col 78}{space 3}  1.36444
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2789955{col 37}{space 2} .2642461{col 48}{space 1}    1.06{col 57}{space 3}0.291{col 65}{space 4}-.2389173{col 78}{space 3} .7969082
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 3.113782{col 37}{space 2} 3.784468{col 48}{space 1}    0.82{col 57}{space 3}0.411{col 65}{space 4}-4.303639{col 78}{space 3}  10.5312
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0920895{col 37}{space 2} .0723879{col 48}{space 1}   -1.27{col 57}{space 3}0.203{col 65}{space 4}-.2339671{col 78}{space 3} .0497881
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3892699{col 37}{space 2} .2212029{col 48}{space 1}    1.76{col 57}{space 3}0.078{col 65}{space 4}-.0442798{col 78}{space 3} .8228196
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -1.06581{col 37}{space 2} .6074897{col 48}{space 1}   -1.75{col 57}{space 3}0.079{col 65}{space 4}-2.256468{col 78}{space 3} .1248483
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-7.033487{col 37}{space 2} 5.172852{col 48}{space 1}   -1.36{col 57}{space 3}0.174{col 65}{space 4}-17.17209{col 78}{space 3} 3.105116
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5557094{col 37}{space 2} .9386386{col 48}{space 1}   -0.59{col 57}{space 3}0.554{col 65}{space 4}-2.395407{col 78}{space 3} 1.283989
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0057768{col 37}{space 2} .0043222{col 48}{space 1}   -1.34{col 57}{space 3}0.181{col 65}{space 4}-.0142481{col 78}{space 3} .0026946
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4436162{col 37}{space 2} 2.006594{col 48}{space 1}   -0.22{col 57}{space 3}0.825{col 65}{space 4}-4.376469{col 78}{space 3} 3.489236
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0198205{col 37}{space 2} .0135993{col 48}{space 1}   -1.46{col 57}{space 3}0.145{col 65}{space 4}-.0464747{col 78}{space 3} .0068336
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2575779{col 37}{space 2} .5484443{col 48}{space 1}   -0.47{col 57}{space 3}0.639{col 65}{space 4}-1.332509{col 78}{space 3} .8173533
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4438713{col 37}{space 2} .2327286{col 48}{space 1}    1.91{col 57}{space 3}0.056{col 65}{space 4}-.0122683{col 78}{space 3}  .900011
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1596437{col 37}{space 2} .2618364{col 48}{space 1}   -0.61{col 57}{space 3}0.542{col 65}{space 4}-.6728337{col 78}{space 3} .3535462
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1743797{col 37}{space 2} .4212347{col 48}{space 1}    0.41{col 57}{space 3}0.679{col 65}{space 4}-.6512251{col 78}{space 3} .9999846
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1652903{col 37}{space 2} 2.126993{col 48}{space 1}   -0.08{col 57}{space 3}0.938{col 65}{space 4}-4.334119{col 78}{space 3} 4.003538
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.1638013{col 37}{space 2} 2.069924{col 65}{space 4}-.9996561{col 78}{space 3}  .999334
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.01   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.9381
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Non-Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess fiveshadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2<6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      192
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}       86
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      106

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    22.49
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-165.9109                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0041

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 4}fiveshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0285946{col 37}{space 2} .0266619{col 48}{space 1}    1.07{col 57}{space 3}0.283{col 65}{space 4}-.0236617{col 78}{space 3}  .080851
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.247202{col 37}{space 2} 1.036238{col 48}{space 1}    1.20{col 57}{space 3}0.229{col 65}{space 4}-.7837875{col 78}{space 3} 3.278191
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7906749{col 37}{space 2}  .323681{col 48}{space 1}    2.44{col 57}{space 3}0.015{col 65}{space 4} .1562717{col 78}{space 3} 1.425078
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0000448{col 37}{space 2} .2086362{col 48}{space 1}    0.00{col 57}{space 3}1.000{col 65}{space 4}-.4088746{col 78}{space 3} .4089641
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2039613{col 37}{space 2} 2.196325{col 48}{space 1}   -0.09{col 57}{space 3}0.926{col 65}{space 4}-4.508679{col 78}{space 3} 4.100756
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0063045{col 37}{space 2} .0674806{col 48}{space 1}   -0.09{col 57}{space 3}0.926{col 65}{space 4} -.138564{col 78}{space 3}  .125955
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1327507{col 37}{space 2} .0403191{col 48}{space 1}    3.29{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} .0537267{col 78}{space 3} .2117747
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0700873{col 37}{space 2} .3222801{col 48}{space 1}    0.22{col 57}{space 3}0.828{col 65}{space 4}-.5615702{col 78}{space 3} .7017448
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.674236{col 37}{space 2} .6445444{col 48}{space 1}   -4.15{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} -3.93752{col 78}{space 3}-1.410953
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5401622{col 37}{space 2} .6720871{col 48}{space 1}    0.80{col 57}{space 3}0.422{col 65}{space 4}-.7771043{col 78}{space 3} 1.857429
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0395131{col 37}{space 2} .0304689{col 48}{space 1}   -1.30{col 57}{space 3}0.195{col 65}{space 4}-.0992311{col 78}{space 3}  .020205
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6875503{col 37}{space 2} 1.251993{col 48}{space 1}    0.55{col 57}{space 3}0.583{col 65}{space 4} -1.76631{col 78}{space 3} 3.141411
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0371694{col 37}{space 2} .0320469{col 48}{space 1}   -1.16{col 57}{space 3}0.246{col 65}{space 4}-.0999802{col 78}{space 3} .0256413
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1602706{col 37}{space 2} .5656189{col 48}{space 1}   -0.28{col 57}{space 3}0.777{col 65}{space 4}-1.268863{col 78}{space 3} .9483221
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0086636{col 37}{space 2} .2213639{col 48}{space 1}   -0.04{col 57}{space 3}0.969{col 65}{space 4}-.4425289{col 78}{space 3} .4252016
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6307432{col 37}{space 2} .2088158{col 48}{space 1}   -3.02{col 57}{space 3}0.003{col 65}{space 4}-1.040015{col 78}{space 3}-.2214717
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3714732{col 37}{space 2} .3578666{col 48}{space 1}    1.04{col 57}{space 3}0.299{col 65}{space 4}-.3299325{col 78}{space 3} 1.072879
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5659616{col 37}{space 2} .5211054{col 48}{space 1}    1.09{col 57}{space 3}0.277{col 65}{space 4}-.4553862{col 78}{space 3} 1.587309
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .5123873{col 37}{space 2}  .384294{col 65}{space 4}-.4263164{col 78}{space 3} .9197358
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    1.18   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.2774
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Appendix Table A6- Anocracies
. *(ALL Sanctions)
. *Full Success - Anocracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if selectpolity2>=-7 & selectpolity<7, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      291
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      148
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      143

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    20.80
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-259.7745                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0077

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0102695{col 37}{space 2} .0253746{col 48}{space 1}    0.40{col 57}{space 3}0.686{col 65}{space 4}-.0394638{col 78}{space 3} .0600028
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0262672{col 37}{space 2} .7297579{col 48}{space 1}    0.04{col 57}{space 3}0.971{col 65}{space 4}-1.404032{col 78}{space 3} 1.456566
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .400693{col 37}{space 2} .2127572{col 48}{space 1}    1.88{col 57}{space 3}0.060{col 65}{space 4}-.0163035{col 78}{space 3} .8176896
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2031027{col 37}{space 2} .1460911{col 48}{space 1}    1.39{col 57}{space 3}0.164{col 65}{space 4}-.0832305{col 78}{space 3} .4894359
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.525719{col 37}{space 2} 1.536165{col 48}{space 1}   -0.99{col 57}{space 3}0.321{col 65}{space 4}-4.536547{col 78}{space 3} 1.485109
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0798557{col 37}{space 2} .0367241{col 48}{space 1}   -2.17{col 57}{space 3}0.030{col 65}{space 4}-.1518336{col 78}{space 3}-.0078778
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0549554{col 37}{space 2} .0214467{col 48}{space 1}    2.56{col 57}{space 3}0.010{col 65}{space 4} .0129207{col 78}{space 3} .0969901
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2002013{col 37}{space 2} .2184151{col 48}{space 1}    0.92{col 57}{space 3}0.359{col 65}{space 4}-.2278843{col 78}{space 3}  .628287
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.854532{col 37}{space 2} .4841294{col 48}{space 1}   -3.83{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-2.803408{col 78}{space 3}-.9056556
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .9390082{col 37}{space 2} .5478729{col 48}{space 1}    1.71{col 57}{space 3}0.087{col 65}{space 4} -.134803{col 78}{space 3} 2.012819
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0234622{col 37}{space 2} .0077003{col 48}{space 1}   -3.05{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4}-.0385544{col 78}{space 3}-.0083699
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.028578{col 37}{space 2} 1.446311{col 48}{space 1}   -0.71{col 57}{space 3}0.477{col 65}{space 4}-3.863295{col 78}{space 3} 1.806138
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0313352{col 37}{space 2} .0212325{col 48}{space 1}   -1.48{col 57}{space 3}0.140{col 65}{space 4}  -.07295{col 78}{space 3} .0102797
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .8605033{col 37}{space 2} .4808938{col 48}{space 1}    1.79{col 57}{space 3}0.074{col 65}{space 4}-.0820312{col 78}{space 3} 1.803038
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0840772{col 37}{space 2} .1761854{col 48}{space 1}   -0.48{col 57}{space 3}0.633{col 65}{space 4}-.4293942{col 78}{space 3} .2612399
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1682218{col 37}{space 2} .1484024{col 48}{space 1}    1.13{col 57}{space 3}0.257{col 65}{space 4}-.1226415{col 78}{space 3} .4590851
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2130411{col 37}{space 2} .3123336{col 48}{space 1}   -0.68{col 57}{space 3}0.495{col 65}{space 4}-.8252037{col 78}{space 3} .3991215
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 12.58785{col 37}{space 2} .2883271{col 48}{space 1}   43.66{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} 12.02274{col 78}{space 3} 13.15296
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}        1{col 37}{space 2} 1.34e-11{col 65}{space 4}        1{col 78}{space 3}        1
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res} 1906.04   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}
{com}. *(Minor Trade and Environmental Sanctions Excluded)
. *Full Success - Anocracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2>=-7 & selectpolity<7, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      177
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}       73
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      104

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    13.20
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -164.441                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.1052

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0152639{col 37}{space 2} .0299962{col 48}{space 1}    0.51{col 57}{space 3}0.611{col 65}{space 4}-.0435276{col 78}{space 3} .0740553
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7960888{col 37}{space 2} .9658049{col 48}{space 1}    0.82{col 57}{space 3}0.410{col 65}{space 4}-1.096854{col 78}{space 3} 2.689032
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6936454{col 37}{space 2} .3019945{col 48}{space 1}    2.30{col 57}{space 3}0.022{col 65}{space 4}  .101747{col 78}{space 3} 1.285544
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .031085{col 37}{space 2} .1928953{col 48}{space 1}    0.16{col 57}{space 3}0.872{col 65}{space 4}-.3469828{col 78}{space 3} .4091527
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4945867{col 37}{space 2} 2.039716{col 48}{space 1}   -0.24{col 57}{space 3}0.808{col 65}{space 4}-4.492357{col 78}{space 3} 3.503184
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.047538{col 37}{space 2} .0585529{col 48}{space 1}   -0.81{col 57}{space 3}0.417{col 65}{space 4}-.1622996{col 78}{space 3} .0672237
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0784517{col 37}{space 2} .0297928{col 48}{space 1}    2.63{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4} .0200589{col 78}{space 3} .1368445
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1433881{col 37}{space 2} .2772792{col 48}{space 1}    0.52{col 57}{space 3}0.605{col 65}{space 4}-.4000692{col 78}{space 3} .6868454
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.125932{col 37}{space 2} .5875201{col 48}{space 1}   -3.62{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} -3.27745{col 78}{space 3}-.9744139
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .8199441{col 37}{space 2} .6661996{col 48}{space 1}    1.23{col 57}{space 3}0.218{col 65}{space 4}-.4857831{col 78}{space 3} 2.125671
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0489293{col 37}{space 2} .0261349{col 48}{space 1}   -1.87{col 57}{space 3}0.061{col 65}{space 4}-.1001527{col 78}{space 3} .0022941
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4169261{col 37}{space 2} 1.253915{col 48}{space 1}    0.33{col 57}{space 3}0.740{col 65}{space 4}-2.040702{col 78}{space 3} 2.874554
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0165045{col 37}{space 2} .0430716{col 48}{space 1}    0.38{col 57}{space 3}0.702{col 65}{space 4}-.0679142{col 78}{space 3} .1009233
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1871811{col 37}{space 2} .6058951{col 48}{space 1}   -0.31{col 57}{space 3}0.757{col 65}{space 4}-1.374714{col 78}{space 3} 1.000352
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0672239{col 37}{space 2} .2170717{col 48}{space 1}    0.31{col 57}{space 3}0.757{col 65}{space 4}-.3582288{col 78}{space 3} .4926767
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4561286{col 37}{space 2} .2227948{col 48}{space 1}   -2.05{col 57}{space 3}0.041{col 65}{space 4}-.8927984{col 78}{space 3}-.0194589
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1440402{col 37}{space 2} .3985283{col 48}{space 1}    0.36{col 57}{space 3}0.718{col 65}{space 4} -.637061{col 78}{space 3} .9251414
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .9407191{col 37}{space 2} .7096509{col 48}{space 1}    1.33{col 57}{space 3}0.185{col 65}{space 4}-.4501711{col 78}{space 3} 2.331609
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .7355525{col 37}{space 2} .3257032{col 65}{space 4}-.4220396{col 78}{space 3} .9813043
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    1.76   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.1850
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Appendix Table A7- Polity2 - SE size and growth interaction terms
. *(ALL Sanctions)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100 imposedshadecon sediffdemocinteract institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      832
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      455
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      377

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})       = {res}    30.07
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-720.8737                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0004

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0926653{col 37}{space 2} .0448342{col 48}{space 1}    2.07{col 57}{space 3}0.039{col 65}{space 4}  .004792{col 78}{space 3} .1805386
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0431708{col 37}{space 2} .6334782{col 48}{space 1}    0.07{col 57}{space 3}0.946{col 65}{space 4}-1.198424{col 78}{space 3} 1.284765
{txt}{space 4}sediffdemocinteract {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0036923{col 37}{space 2} .0030272{col 48}{space 1}   -1.22{col 57}{space 3}0.223{col 65}{space 4}-.0096255{col 78}{space 3} .0022409
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4114894{col 37}{space 2} .1990476{col 48}{space 1}    2.07{col 57}{space 3}0.039{col 65}{space 4} .0213633{col 78}{space 3} .8016156
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .298283{col 37}{space 2} .1290477{col 48}{space 1}    2.31{col 57}{space 3}0.021{col 65}{space 4} .0453541{col 78}{space 3} .5512118
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.094408{col 37}{space 2} 1.024457{col 48}{space 1}   -1.07{col 57}{space 3}0.285{col 65}{space 4}-3.102307{col 78}{space 3} .9134911
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.031389{col 37}{space 2} .0126388{col 48}{space 1}   -2.48{col 57}{space 3}0.013{col 65}{space 4}-.0561606{col 78}{space 3}-.0066174
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0297496{col 37}{space 2} .0157524{col 48}{space 1}    1.89{col 57}{space 3}0.059{col 65}{space 4}-.0011246{col 78}{space 3} .0606239
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0106006{col 37}{space 2} .1637675{col 48}{space 1}    0.06{col 57}{space 3}0.948{col 65}{space 4}-.3103778{col 78}{space 3} .3315791
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.772479{col 37}{space 2}  .393056{col 48}{space 1}   -4.51{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-2.542855{col 78}{space 3}-1.002103
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3447667{col 37}{space 2}  .390468{col 48}{space 1}    0.88{col 57}{space 3}0.377{col 65}{space 4}-.4205366{col 78}{space 3}  1.11007
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0095454{col 37}{space 2} .0055141{col 48}{space 1}   -1.73{col 57}{space 3}0.083{col 65}{space 4}-.0203529{col 78}{space 3} .0012621
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0529556{col 37}{space 2} .6849032{col 48}{space 1}    0.08{col 57}{space 3}0.938{col 65}{space 4} -1.28943{col 78}{space 3} 1.395341
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0127176{col 37}{space 2} .0060415{col 48}{space 1}   -2.11{col 57}{space 3}0.035{col 65}{space 4}-.0245587{col 78}{space 3}-.0008765
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4264146{col 37}{space 2} .1800803{col 48}{space 1}    2.37{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4} .0734637{col 78}{space 3} .7793655
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1188592{col 37}{space 2} .1079059{col 48}{space 1}   -1.10{col 57}{space 3}0.271{col 65}{space 4} -.330351{col 78}{space 3} .0926325
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0100796{col 37}{space 2} .0923752{col 48}{space 1}    0.11{col 57}{space 3}0.913{col 65}{space 4}-.1709725{col 78}{space 3} .1911318
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .005486{col 37}{space 2} .1942808{col 48}{space 1}    0.03{col 57}{space 3}0.977{col 65}{space 4}-.3752974{col 78}{space 3} .3862693
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .645399{col 37}{space 2} .5731447{col 48}{space 1}    1.13{col 57}{space 3}0.260{col 65}{space 4} -.477944{col 78}{space 3} 1.768742
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .5685644{col 37}{space 2} .3878668{col 65}{space 4}-.4445955{col 78}{space 3} .9434714
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    1.27   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.2601
{txt}
{com}. *(Minor Trade and Environmental Sanctions Excluded)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon sediffdemocinteract institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      431
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      220

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})       = {res}    32.56
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-385.5842                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0002

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0843272{col 37}{space 2} .0488635{col 48}{space 1}    1.73{col 57}{space 3}0.084{col 65}{space 4}-.0114435{col 78}{space 3} .1800979
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7269343{col 37}{space 2} .7975666{col 48}{space 1}    0.91{col 57}{space 3}0.362{col 65}{space 4}-.8362675{col 78}{space 3} 2.290136
{txt}{space 4}sediffdemocinteract {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0005218{col 37}{space 2} .0037761{col 48}{space 1}   -0.14{col 57}{space 3}0.890{col 65}{space 4}-.0079228{col 78}{space 3} .0068791
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5361015{col 37}{space 2} .2339298{col 48}{space 1}    2.29{col 57}{space 3}0.022{col 65}{space 4} .0776076{col 78}{space 3} .9945954
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0744957{col 37}{space 2} .1506615{col 48}{space 1}    0.49{col 57}{space 3}0.621{col 65}{space 4}-.2207955{col 78}{space 3} .3697868
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.221829{col 37}{space 2} 1.631206{col 48}{space 1}    0.75{col 57}{space 3}0.454{col 65}{space 4}-1.975276{col 78}{space 3} 4.418935
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0585488{col 37}{space 2} .0273613{col 48}{space 1}   -2.14{col 57}{space 3}0.032{col 65}{space 4}-.1121759{col 78}{space 3}-.0049216
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0853308{col 37}{space 2} .0225026{col 48}{space 1}    3.79{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} .0412264{col 78}{space 3} .1294351
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3623646{col 37}{space 2} .2228647{col 48}{space 1}   -1.63{col 57}{space 3}0.104{col 65}{space 4}-.7991713{col 78}{space 3} .0744421
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.134248{col 37}{space 2} .7879123{col 48}{space 1}   -1.44{col 57}{space 3}0.150{col 65}{space 4}-2.678528{col 78}{space 3}  .410032
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3303081{col 37}{space 2} .5012969{col 48}{space 1}    0.66{col 57}{space 3}0.510{col 65}{space 4}-.6522157{col 78}{space 3} 1.312832
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0084999{col 37}{space 2} .0058659{col 48}{space 1}   -1.45{col 57}{space 3}0.147{col 65}{space 4}-.0199969{col 78}{space 3} .0029972
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2395647{col 37}{space 2} 1.180456{col 48}{space 1}    0.20{col 57}{space 3}0.839{col 65}{space 4}-2.074087{col 78}{space 3} 2.553217
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.018198{col 37}{space 2} .0096427{col 48}{space 1}   -1.89{col 57}{space 3}0.059{col 65}{space 4}-.0370973{col 78}{space 3} .0007013
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1738935{col 37}{space 2} .3632297{col 48}{space 1}   -0.48{col 57}{space 3}0.632{col 65}{space 4}-.8858106{col 78}{space 3} .5380237
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2825423{col 37}{space 2} .1445659{col 48}{space 1}    1.95{col 57}{space 3}0.051{col 65}{space 4}-.0008017{col 78}{space 3} .5658863
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4861497{col 37}{space 2} .1281522{col 48}{space 1}   -3.79{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.7373233{col 78}{space 3}-.2349761
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1972467{col 37}{space 2} .2498458{col 48}{space 1}    0.79{col 57}{space 3}0.430{col 65}{space 4}-.2924422{col 78}{space 3} .6869355
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4949043{col 37}{space 2} .6430994{col 48}{space 1}   -0.77{col 57}{space 3}0.442{col 65}{space 4}-1.755356{col 78}{space 3} .7655474
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.4581002{col 37}{space 2} .5081413{col 65}{space 4} -.941982{col 78}{space 3} .6443329
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.59   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.4416
{txt}
{com}. **Models with Interaction Term with the Democracy Dummy
. *(ALL Sanctions)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100 imposedshadecon sediffdemdummyinteract institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 demdummy USsender, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      837
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      455
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      382

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})       = {res}    28.77
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-728.8673                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0007

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0346291{col 37}{space 2} .0259579{col 48}{space 1}    1.33{col 57}{space 3}0.182{col 65}{space 4}-.0162474{col 78}{space 3} .0855056
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0264299{col 37}{space 2} .6035821{col 48}{space 1}   -0.04{col 57}{space 3}0.965{col 65}{space 4}-1.209429{col 78}{space 3} 1.156569
{txt}{space 1}sediffdemdummyinteract {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0460123{col 37}{space 2} .0435452{col 48}{space 1}    1.06{col 57}{space 3}0.291{col 65}{space 4}-.0393348{col 78}{space 3} .1313593
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4121138{col 37}{space 2} .1896341{col 48}{space 1}    2.17{col 57}{space 3}0.030{col 65}{space 4} .0404379{col 78}{space 3} .7837898
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3027129{col 37}{space 2} .1233055{col 48}{space 1}    2.45{col 57}{space 3}0.014{col 65}{space 4} .0610386{col 78}{space 3} .5443871
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.109634{col 37}{space 2} 1.003039{col 48}{space 1}   -1.11{col 57}{space 3}0.269{col 65}{space 4}-3.075554{col 78}{space 3} .8562863
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0248494{col 37}{space 2} .0123478{col 48}{space 1}   -2.01{col 57}{space 3}0.044{col 65}{space 4}-.0490506{col 78}{space 3}-.0006482
{txt}{space 15}demdummy {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2804627{col 37}{space 2} .2125515{col 48}{space 1}    1.32{col 57}{space 3}0.187{col 65}{space 4}-.1361305{col 78}{space 3}  .697056
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0330904{col 37}{space 2} .1614309{col 48}{space 1}    0.20{col 57}{space 3}0.838{col 65}{space 4}-.2833084{col 78}{space 3} .3494891
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.516057{col 37}{space 2} .3279428{col 48}{space 1}   -4.62{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-2.158813{col 78}{space 3}-.8733004
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2817719{col 37}{space 2} .3854741{col 48}{space 1}    0.73{col 57}{space 3}0.465{col 65}{space 4}-.4737434{col 78}{space 3} 1.037287
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0099963{col 37}{space 2} .0056064{col 48}{space 1}   -1.78{col 57}{space 3}0.075{col 65}{space 4}-.0209846{col 78}{space 3}  .000992
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0638309{col 37}{space 2} .6837134{col 48}{space 1}    0.09{col 57}{space 3}0.926{col 65}{space 4}-1.276223{col 78}{space 3} 1.403885
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0135664{col 37}{space 2} .0060042{col 48}{space 1}   -2.26{col 57}{space 3}0.024{col 65}{space 4}-.0253345{col 78}{space 3}-.0017984
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4219507{col 37}{space 2} .1802041{col 48}{space 1}    2.34{col 57}{space 3}0.019{col 65}{space 4} .0687571{col 78}{space 3} .7751444
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1254958{col 37}{space 2} .1075154{col 48}{space 1}   -1.17{col 57}{space 3}0.243{col 65}{space 4}-.3362222{col 78}{space 3} .0852306
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0048686{col 37}{space 2} .0898949{col 48}{space 1}    0.05{col 57}{space 3}0.957{col 65}{space 4}-.1713222{col 78}{space 3} .1810593
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0506139{col 37}{space 2} .1900697{col 48}{space 1}    0.27{col 57}{space 3}0.790{col 65}{space 4} -.321916{col 78}{space 3} .4231437
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6300571{col 37}{space 2} .4071051{col 48}{space 1}    1.55{col 57}{space 3}0.122{col 65}{space 4}-.1678542{col 78}{space 3} 1.427968
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .5580915{col 37}{space 2} .2803056{col 65}{space 4}-.1662954{col 78}{space 3} .8912495
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    2.40   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.1217
{txt}
{com}. *(Minor Trade and Environmental Sanctions Excluded)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess shadecondiff100  imposedshadecon sediffdemdummyinteract institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 demdummy USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      436
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      225

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})       = {res}    25.33
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-396.3761                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0026

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 8}shadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0452911{col 37}{space 2} .0335172{col 48}{space 1}    1.35{col 57}{space 3}0.177{col 65}{space 4}-.0204014{col 78}{space 3} .1109836
{txt}{space 8}imposedshadecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4461157{col 37}{space 2} .7210858{col 48}{space 1}    0.62{col 57}{space 3}0.536{col 65}{space 4}-.9671865{col 78}{space 3} 1.859418
{txt}{space 1}sediffdemdummyinteract {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1630381{col 37}{space 2} .0813128{col 48}{space 1}    2.01{col 57}{space 3}0.045{col 65}{space 4}  .003668{col 78}{space 3} .3224082
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5510039{col 37}{space 2} .2448777{col 48}{space 1}    2.25{col 57}{space 3}0.024{col 65}{space 4} .0710525{col 78}{space 3} 1.030955
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1506019{col 37}{space 2} .1439333{col 48}{space 1}    1.05{col 57}{space 3}0.295{col 65}{space 4}-.1315023{col 78}{space 3}  .432706
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.181603{col 37}{space 2} 1.553763{col 48}{space 1}    0.76{col 57}{space 3}0.447{col 65}{space 4}-1.863715{col 78}{space 3} 4.226922
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0644762{col 37}{space 2} .0196661{col 48}{space 1}   -3.28{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} -.103021{col 78}{space 3}-.0259314
{txt}{space 15}demdummy {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.102172{col 37}{space 2} .3478906{col 48}{space 1}    3.17{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4} .4203191{col 78}{space 3} 1.784025
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1107948{col 37}{space 2} .2229099{col 48}{space 1}   -0.50{col 57}{space 3}0.619{col 65}{space 4}-.5476902{col 78}{space 3} .3261005
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -1.13025{col 37}{space 2} .4770102{col 48}{space 1}   -2.37{col 57}{space 3}0.018{col 65}{space 4}-2.065173{col 78}{space 3} -.195327
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}    .2022{col 37}{space 2} .4856643{col 48}{space 1}    0.42{col 57}{space 3}0.677{col 65}{space 4}-.7496846{col 78}{space 3} 1.154085
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.009641{col 37}{space 2} .0066757{col 48}{space 1}   -1.44{col 57}{space 3}0.149{col 65}{space 4}-.0227251{col 78}{space 3}  .003443
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3566739{col 37}{space 2} 1.061947{col 48}{space 1}    0.34{col 57}{space 3}0.737{col 65}{space 4}-1.724704{col 78}{space 3} 2.438051
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0195402{col 37}{space 2} .0094943{col 48}{space 1}   -2.06{col 57}{space 3}0.040{col 65}{space 4}-.0381487{col 78}{space 3}-.0009316
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1676074{col 37}{space 2}  .373648{col 48}{space 1}   -0.45{col 57}{space 3}0.654{col 65}{space 4} -.899944{col 78}{space 3} .5647291
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2544388{col 37}{space 2} .1423843{col 48}{space 1}    1.79{col 57}{space 3}0.074{col 65}{space 4}-.0246293{col 78}{space 3}  .533507
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4597813{col 37}{space 2} .1296804{col 48}{space 1}   -3.55{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.7139502{col 78}{space 3}-.2056124
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2702486{col 37}{space 2} .2411309{col 48}{space 1}    1.12{col 57}{space 3}0.262{col 65}{space 4}-.2023593{col 78}{space 3} .7428564
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3248467{col 37}{space 2} .5132421{col 48}{space 1}    0.63{col 57}{space 3}0.527{col 65}{space 4}-.6810893{col 78}{space 3} 1.330783
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .3138827{col 37}{space 2} .4626762{col 65}{space 4}-.5922271{col 78}{space 3} .8694405
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.40   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.5268
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Appendix Table A8: Alternative SE variable (Last year of SE score)
. *(ALL Sanctions)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess altshadecondiff100 SEendyearscore institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      789
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      455
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      334

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    30.49
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-673.1058                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0002

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 5}altshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0455086{col 37}{space 2}  .015512{col 48}{space 1}    2.93{col 57}{space 3}0.003{col 65}{space 4} .0151057{col 78}{space 3} .0759116
{txt}{space 9}SEendyearscore {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1481787{col 37}{space 2} .6536394{col 48}{space 1}    0.23{col 57}{space 3}0.821{col 65}{space 4}-1.132931{col 78}{space 3} 1.429288
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4372114{col 37}{space 2} .2037595{col 48}{space 1}    2.15{col 57}{space 3}0.032{col 65}{space 4}   .03785{col 78}{space 3} .8365727
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3084876{col 37}{space 2} .1258879{col 48}{space 1}    2.45{col 57}{space 3}0.014{col 65}{space 4} .0617519{col 78}{space 3} .5552234
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.194366{col 37}{space 2} 1.073615{col 48}{space 1}   -1.11{col 57}{space 3}0.266{col 65}{space 4}-3.298612{col 78}{space 3} .9098805
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0268608{col 37}{space 2} .0126675{col 48}{space 1}   -2.12{col 57}{space 3}0.034{col 65}{space 4}-.0516886{col 78}{space 3} -.002033
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0333202{col 37}{space 2} .0154525{col 48}{space 1}    2.16{col 57}{space 3}0.031{col 65}{space 4} .0030338{col 78}{space 3} .0636066
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .049647{col 37}{space 2} .1761113{col 48}{space 1}    0.28{col 57}{space 3}0.778{col 65}{space 4}-.2955248{col 78}{space 3} .3948187
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.858935{col 37}{space 2} .4055645{col 48}{space 1}   -4.58{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-2.653827{col 78}{space 3}-1.064043
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4465999{col 37}{space 2} .3972778{col 48}{space 1}    1.12{col 57}{space 3}0.261{col 65}{space 4}-.3320503{col 78}{space 3}  1.22525
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0089909{col 37}{space 2} .0054236{col 48}{space 1}   -1.66{col 57}{space 3}0.097{col 65}{space 4}-.0196211{col 78}{space 3} .0016392
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1236486{col 37}{space 2} .7267698{col 48}{space 1}    0.17{col 57}{space 3}0.865{col 65}{space 4}-1.300794{col 78}{space 3} 1.548091
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0155433{col 37}{space 2} .0062644{col 48}{space 1}   -2.48{col 57}{space 3}0.013{col 65}{space 4}-.0278213{col 78}{space 3}-.0032654
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4655499{col 37}{space 2} .1883579{col 48}{space 1}    2.47{col 57}{space 3}0.013{col 65}{space 4} .0963753{col 78}{space 3} .8347245
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1681808{col 37}{space 2} .1113573{col 48}{space 1}   -1.51{col 57}{space 3}0.131{col 65}{space 4}-.3864371{col 78}{space 3} .0500754
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0652176{col 37}{space 2} .0930804{col 48}{space 1}   -0.70{col 57}{space 3}0.484{col 65}{space 4}-.2476518{col 78}{space 3} .1172165
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0148907{col 37}{space 2}  .196745{col 48}{space 1}   -0.08{col 57}{space 3}0.940{col 65}{space 4}-.4005039{col 78}{space 3} .3707224
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .6451679{col 37}{space 2} .4813275{col 48}{space 1}    1.34{col 57}{space 3}0.180{col 65}{space 4}-.2982166{col 78}{space 3} 1.588552
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}  .568408{col 37}{space 2} .3258165{col 65}{space 4}-.2896797{col 78}{space 3} .9199271
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    1.80   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.1801
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess altshadecondiff100 SEendyearscore institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if selectpolity2>=6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      514
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      306
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      208

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    20.50
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-421.2115                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0086

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 5}altshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0818291{col 37}{space 2} .0295486{col 48}{space 1}    2.77{col 57}{space 3}0.006{col 65}{space 4} .0239148{col 78}{space 3} .1397433
{txt}{space 9}SEendyearscore {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5685818{col 37}{space 2}  1.07963{col 48}{space 1}    0.53{col 57}{space 3}0.598{col 65}{space 4}-1.547454{col 78}{space 3} 2.684618
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4050256{col 37}{space 2} .3224413{col 48}{space 1}    1.26{col 57}{space 3}0.209{col 65}{space 4}-.2269479{col 78}{space 3} 1.036999
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4977189{col 37}{space 2} .2194521{col 48}{space 1}    2.27{col 57}{space 3}0.023{col 65}{space 4} .0676007{col 78}{space 3}  .927837
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.821629{col 37}{space 2} 1.396388{col 48}{space 1}   -1.30{col 57}{space 3}0.192{col 65}{space 4}  -4.5585{col 78}{space 3} .9152421
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0222668{col 37}{space 2} .0171234{col 48}{space 1}   -1.30{col 57}{space 3}0.193{col 65}{space 4} -.055828{col 78}{space 3} .0112944
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .175661{col 37}{space 2} .1078835{col 48}{space 1}    1.63{col 57}{space 3}0.103{col 65}{space 4}-.0357867{col 78}{space 3} .3871087
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .064132{col 37}{space 2} .2853629{col 48}{space 1}    0.22{col 57}{space 3}0.822{col 65}{space 4}-.4951691{col 78}{space 3}  .623433
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-4.759527{col 37}{space 2} 1.918009{col 48}{space 1}   -2.48{col 57}{space 3}0.013{col 65}{space 4}-8.518755{col 78}{space 3}-1.000298
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.4710935{col 37}{space 2} .6720522{col 48}{space 1}   -0.70{col 57}{space 3}0.483{col 65}{space 4}-1.788292{col 78}{space 3} .8461047
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0080268{col 37}{space 2} .0055036{col 48}{space 1}   -1.46{col 57}{space 3}0.145{col 65}{space 4}-.0188136{col 78}{space 3}   .00276
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5661528{col 37}{space 2} .9004198{col 48}{space 1}    0.63{col 57}{space 3}0.530{col 65}{space 4}-1.198638{col 78}{space 3} 2.330943
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0257509{col 37}{space 2} .0086303{col 48}{space 1}   -2.98{col 57}{space 3}0.003{col 65}{space 4} -.042666{col 78}{space 3}-.0088358
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3988401{col 37}{space 2} .2404979{col 48}{space 1}    1.66{col 57}{space 3}0.097{col 65}{space 4}-.0725272{col 78}{space 3} .8702074
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2175161{col 37}{space 2} .1505515{col 48}{space 1}   -1.44{col 57}{space 3}0.149{col 65}{space 4}-.5125917{col 78}{space 3} .0775595
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .075976{col 37}{space 2} .1237996{col 48}{space 1}    0.61{col 57}{space 3}0.539{col 65}{space 4}-.1666667{col 78}{space 3} .3186187
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3514986{col 37}{space 2} .3004461{col 48}{space 1}    1.17{col 57}{space 3}0.242{col 65}{space 4} -.237365{col 78}{space 3} .9403621
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2863126{col 37}{space 2}   1.1072{col 48}{space 1}    0.26{col 57}{space 3}0.796{col 65}{space 4}-1.883759{col 78}{space 3} 2.456385
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .2787374{col 37}{space 2} 1.021177{col 65}{space 4}-.9548253{col 78}{space 3} .9854031
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.07   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.7960
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Non-Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess altshadecondiff100 SEendyearscore institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if selectpolity2<6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      275
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      149
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      126

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    19.10
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-235.7732                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0144

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 5}altshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0183893{col 37}{space 2} .0138884{col 48}{space 1}    1.32{col 57}{space 3}0.185{col 65}{space 4}-.0088315{col 78}{space 3} .0456102
{txt}{space 9}SEendyearscore {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2753492{col 37}{space 2} .7766311{col 48}{space 1}    0.35{col 57}{space 3}0.723{col 65}{space 4} -1.24682{col 78}{space 3} 1.797518
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .362139{col 37}{space 2} .2166647{col 48}{space 1}    1.67{col 57}{space 3}0.095{col 65}{space 4} -.062516{col 78}{space 3}  .786794
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1135789{col 37}{space 2}  .157564{col 48}{space 1}    0.72{col 57}{space 3}0.471{col 65}{space 4}-.1952408{col 78}{space 3} .4223986
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.120569{col 37}{space 2} 1.638126{col 48}{space 1}   -0.68{col 57}{space 3}0.494{col 65}{space 4}-4.331237{col 78}{space 3} 2.090099
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0920863{col 37}{space 2} .0438155{col 48}{space 1}   -2.10{col 57}{space 3}0.036{col 65}{space 4}-.1779632{col 78}{space 3}-.0062095
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0572494{col 37}{space 2} .0249818{col 48}{space 1}    2.29{col 57}{space 3}0.022{col 65}{space 4} .0082859{col 78}{space 3} .1062129
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1135059{col 37}{space 2} .2281283{col 48}{space 1}    0.50{col 57}{space 3}0.619{col 65}{space 4}-.3336174{col 78}{space 3} .5606291
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-1.678858{col 37}{space 2} .4931001{col 48}{space 1}   -3.40{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4}-2.645316{col 78}{space 3}-.7123997
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .8351092{col 37}{space 2} .5485338{col 48}{space 1}    1.52{col 57}{space 3}0.128{col 65}{space 4}-.2399973{col 78}{space 3} 1.910216
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0282625{col 37}{space 2} .0285033{col 48}{space 1}   -0.99{col 57}{space 3}0.321{col 65}{space 4}-.0841279{col 78}{space 3} .0276029
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0473555{col 37}{space 2} 1.184837{col 48}{space 1}   -0.04{col 57}{space 3}0.968{col 65}{space 4}-2.369593{col 78}{space 3} 2.274882
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0595683{col 37}{space 2} .0226317{col 48}{space 1}   -2.63{col 57}{space 3}0.008{col 65}{space 4}-.1039255{col 78}{space 3}-.0152111
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .700196{col 37}{space 2} .5969573{col 48}{space 1}    1.17{col 57}{space 3}0.241{col 65}{space 4}-.4698188{col 78}{space 3} 1.870211
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1756751{col 37}{space 2} .1846401{col 48}{space 1}   -0.95{col 57}{space 3}0.341{col 65}{space 4} -.537563{col 78}{space 3} .1862129
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.2628566{col 37}{space 2} .1560559{col 48}{space 1}   -1.68{col 57}{space 3}0.092{col 65}{space 4}-.5687206{col 78}{space 3} .0430074
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0544505{col 37}{space 2} .2950308{col 48}{space 1}    0.18{col 57}{space 3}0.854{col 65}{space 4}-.5237993{col 78}{space 3} .6327003
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  4.02536{col 37}{space 2} 10.16224{col 48}{space 1}    0.40{col 57}{space 3}0.692{col 65}{space 4}-15.89226{col 78}{space 3} 23.94297
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .9993625{col 37}{space 2} .0129536{col 65}{space 4}       -1{col 78}{space 3}        1
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.16   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.6920
{txt}
{com}. *(Minor Trade and Environmental Sanctions Excluded)
. *Full Success - Full Model
. heckprob impositionsuccess altshadecondiff100 SEendyearscore institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      417
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      211
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      206

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    32.71
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-369.2541                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0001

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 5}altshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0628147{col 37}{space 2} .0203084{col 48}{space 1}    3.09{col 57}{space 3}0.002{col 65}{space 4}  .023011{col 78}{space 3} .1026184
{txt}{space 9}SEendyearscore {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .9172127{col 37}{space 2} .8259635{col 48}{space 1}    1.11{col 57}{space 3}0.267{col 65}{space 4} -.701646{col 78}{space 3} 2.536071
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .5934333{col 37}{space 2} .2470492{col 48}{space 1}    2.40{col 57}{space 3}0.016{col 65}{space 4} .1092258{col 78}{space 3} 1.077641
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .079075{col 37}{space 2} .1521518{col 48}{space 1}    0.52{col 57}{space 3}0.603{col 65}{space 4} -.219137{col 78}{space 3}  .377287
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.205225{col 37}{space 2} 1.634565{col 48}{space 1}    0.74{col 57}{space 3}0.461{col 65}{space 4}-1.998463{col 78}{space 3} 4.408913
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0520002{col 37}{space 2} .0259255{col 48}{space 1}   -2.01{col 57}{space 3}0.045{col 65}{space 4}-.1028133{col 78}{space 3}-.0011872
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0858656{col 37}{space 2} .0199522{col 48}{space 1}    4.30{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4} .0467601{col 78}{space 3} .1249711
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3547989{col 37}{space 2} .2339818{col 48}{space 1}   -1.52{col 57}{space 3}0.129{col 65}{space 4}-.8133949{col 78}{space 3} .1037971
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -1.30408{col 37}{space 2} .7552728{col 48}{space 1}   -1.73{col 57}{space 3}0.084{col 65}{space 4}-2.784388{col 78}{space 3} .1762272
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2449912{col 37}{space 2} .5077044{col 48}{space 1}    0.48{col 57}{space 3}0.629{col 65}{space 4}-.7500912{col 78}{space 3} 1.240074
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0073696{col 37}{space 2} .0050233{col 48}{space 1}   -1.47{col 57}{space 3}0.142{col 65}{space 4}-.0172152{col 78}{space 3} .0024759
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4502499{col 37}{space 2} 1.198033{col 48}{space 1}    0.38{col 57}{space 3}0.707{col 65}{space 4}-1.897851{col 78}{space 3}  2.79835
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0238462{col 37}{space 2} .0102782{col 48}{space 1}   -2.32{col 57}{space 3}0.020{col 65}{space 4}-.0439911{col 78}{space 3}-.0037013
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3140403{col 37}{space 2} .3667729{col 48}{space 1}   -0.86{col 57}{space 3}0.392{col 65}{space 4}-1.032902{col 78}{space 3} .4048214
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2984879{col 37}{space 2}  .146851{col 48}{space 1}    2.03{col 57}{space 3}0.042{col 65}{space 4} .0106653{col 78}{space 3} .5863105
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.5383119{col 37}{space 2} .1329036{col 48}{space 1}   -4.05{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-.7987983{col 78}{space 3}-.2778256
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .2334478{col 37}{space 2}   .25455{col 48}{space 1}    0.92{col 57}{space 3}0.359{col 65}{space 4}-.2654611{col 78}{space 3} .7323566
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3700045{col 37}{space 2} .5594349{col 48}{space 1}   -0.66{col 57}{space 3}0.508{col 65}{space 4}-1.466477{col 78}{space 3} .7264677
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3539956{col 37}{space 2} .4893305{col 65}{space 4}-.8989032{col 78}{space 3} .6208996
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.44   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.5084
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess altshadecondiff100 SEendyearscore institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2>=6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      226
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}      125
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      101

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    21.14
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-184.4421                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0068

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 5}altshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1850162{col 37}{space 2} .0664179{col 48}{space 1}    2.79{col 57}{space 3}0.005{col 65}{space 4} .0548395{col 78}{space 3}  .315193
{txt}{space 9}SEendyearscore {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 2.392328{col 37}{space 2} 1.493655{col 48}{space 1}    1.60{col 57}{space 3}0.109{col 65}{space 4}-.5351816{col 78}{space 3} 5.319837
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3800792{col 37}{space 2}  .480989{col 48}{space 1}    0.79{col 57}{space 3}0.429{col 65}{space 4} -.562642{col 78}{space 3}   1.3228
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .3007265{col 37}{space 2}  .271845{col 48}{space 1}    1.11{col 57}{space 3}0.269{col 65}{space 4}-.2320799{col 78}{space 3} .8335328
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.979108{col 37}{space 2} 3.495508{col 48}{space 1}    1.42{col 57}{space 3}0.154{col 65}{space 4}-1.871962{col 78}{space 3} 11.83018
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0875705{col 37}{space 2} .0448126{col 48}{space 1}   -1.95{col 57}{space 3}0.051{col 65}{space 4}-.1754016{col 78}{space 3} .0002606
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4142111{col 37}{space 2} .1689123{col 48}{space 1}    2.45{col 57}{space 3}0.014{col 65}{space 4}  .083149{col 78}{space 3} .7452732
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6335445{col 37}{space 2} .4846619{col 48}{space 1}   -1.31{col 57}{space 3}0.191{col 65}{space 4}-1.583464{col 78}{space 3} .3163753
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-7.850393{col 37}{space 2} 3.400584{col 48}{space 1}   -2.31{col 57}{space 3}0.021{col 65}{space 4}-14.51541{col 78}{space 3}-1.185371
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.6730008{col 37}{space 2} .8968339{col 48}{space 1}   -0.75{col 57}{space 3}0.453{col 65}{space 4}-2.430763{col 78}{space 3} 1.084761
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0059985{col 37}{space 2} .0041739{col 48}{space 1}   -1.44{col 57}{space 3}0.151{col 65}{space 4}-.0141791{col 78}{space 3} .0021821
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} -.347698{col 37}{space 2} 1.988837{col 48}{space 1}   -0.17{col 57}{space 3}0.861{col 65}{space 4}-4.245747{col 78}{space 3}  3.55035
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0289845{col 37}{space 2} .0139996{col 48}{space 1}   -2.07{col 57}{space 3}0.038{col 65}{space 4}-.0564233{col 78}{space 3}-.0015457
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7367418{col 37}{space 2} .6287728{col 48}{space 1}   -1.17{col 57}{space 3}0.241{col 65}{space 4}-1.969114{col 78}{space 3} .4956303
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4793599{col 37}{space 2} .2138377{col 48}{space 1}    2.24{col 57}{space 3}0.025{col 65}{space 4} .0602457{col 78}{space 3} .8984741
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.3352169{col 37}{space 2} .2006201{col 48}{space 1}   -1.67{col 57}{space 3}0.095{col 65}{space 4} -.728425{col 78}{space 3} .0579912
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4327352{col 37}{space 2} .4127256{col 48}{space 1}    1.05{col 57}{space 3}0.294{col 65}{space 4}-.3761922{col 78}{space 3} 1.241663
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1537014{col 37}{space 2} .7742302{col 48}{space 1}   -0.20{col 57}{space 3}0.843{col 65}{space 4}-1.671165{col 78}{space 3} 1.363762
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.1525024{col 37}{space 2} .7562239{col 65}{space 4}-.9317055{col 78}{space 3} .8772627
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.04   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.8426
{txt}
{com}. *Full Success - Non-Democracies
. heckprob impositionsuccess altshadecondiff100  SEendyearscore institution targetcosts  imposeddyadtradegdp imposedtargetgdp1000 imposedpolity20 USsender if tradeenvironmentsanct==0 & selectpolity2<6, sel(imposition= selecprioryearshadwecon capability seldyadtradegdp selecttargetgdp1000 allianceselect USsender2 postcoldwar ) nolog robust 
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}      191
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}       86
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}      105

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})       = {res}    15.17
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -166.912                {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0559

{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 25}{c |}{col 37}    Robust
{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      z{col 57}   P>|z|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}impositionsuccess       {txt}{c |}
{space 5}altshadecondiff100 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0340212{col 37}{space 2} .0239581{col 48}{space 1}    1.42{col 57}{space 3}0.156{col 65}{space 4}-.0129358{col 78}{space 3} .0809781
{txt}{space 9}SEendyearscore {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.408542{col 37}{space 2} 1.036859{col 48}{space 1}    1.36{col 57}{space 3}0.174{col 65}{space 4}-.6236636{col 78}{space 3} 3.440748
{txt}{space 12}institution {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .7273135{col 37}{space 2}  .338157{col 48}{space 1}    2.15{col 57}{space 3}0.031{col 65}{space 4}  .064538{col 78}{space 3} 1.390089
{txt}{space 12}targetcosts {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0346284{col 37}{space 2} .2007745{col 48}{space 1}   -0.17{col 57}{space 3}0.863{col 65}{space 4}-.4281391{col 78}{space 3} .3588823
{txt}{space 4}imposeddyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.8938477{col 37}{space 2} 2.537318{col 48}{space 1}   -0.35{col 57}{space 3}0.725{col 65}{space 4}-5.866899{col 78}{space 3} 4.079204
{txt}{space 3}imposedtargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0485094{col 37}{space 2} .0857292{col 48}{space 1}    0.57{col 57}{space 3}0.571{col 65}{space 4}-.1195166{col 78}{space 3} .2165355
{txt}{space 8}imposedpolity20 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .1168401{col 37}{space 2} .0490568{col 48}{space 1}    2.38{col 57}{space 3}0.017{col 65}{space 4} .0206906{col 78}{space 3} .2129896
{txt}{space 15}USsender {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0560842{col 37}{space 2} .3289459{col 48}{space 1}    0.17{col 57}{space 3}0.865{col 65}{space 4} -.588638{col 78}{space 3} .7008063
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-2.428806{col 37}{space 2} .6966371{col 48}{space 1}   -3.49{col 57}{space 3}0.000{col 65}{space 4}-3.794189{col 78}{space 3}-1.063422
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}imposition              {txt}{c |}
selecprioryearshadwecon {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}  .475193{col 37}{space 2} .6841135{col 48}{space 1}    0.69{col 57}{space 3}0.487{col 65}{space 4}-.8656448{col 78}{space 3} 1.816031
{txt}{space 13}capability {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0319647{col 37}{space 2} .0334175{col 48}{space 1}   -0.96{col 57}{space 3}0.339{col 65}{space 4}-.0974618{col 78}{space 3} .0335325
{txt}{space 8}seldyadtradegdp {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 1.123819{col 37}{space 2} 1.463367{col 48}{space 1}    0.77{col 57}{space 3}0.443{col 65}{space 4}-1.744327{col 78}{space 3} 3.991965
{txt}{space 4}selecttargetgdp1000 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0735482{col 37}{space 2} .0382621{col 48}{space 1}   -1.92{col 57}{space 3}0.055{col 65}{space 4}-.1485407{col 78}{space 3} .0014442
{txt}{space 9}allianceselect {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1379775{col 37}{space 2} .5728341{col 48}{space 1}   -0.24{col 57}{space 3}0.810{col 65}{space 4}-1.260712{col 78}{space 3} .9847567
{txt}{space 14}USsender2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .0505032{col 37}{space 2} .2363739{col 48}{space 1}    0.21{col 57}{space 3}0.831{col 65}{space 4}-.4127811{col 78}{space 3} .5137876
{txt}{space 12}postcoldwar {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.7282309{col 37}{space 2} .2141106{col 48}{space 1}   -3.40{col 57}{space 3}0.001{col 65}{space 4} -1.14788{col 78}{space 3}-.3085818
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4687676{col 37}{space 2} .3597557{col 48}{space 1}    1.30{col 57}{space 3}0.193{col 65}{space 4}-.2363405{col 78}{space 3} 1.173876
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                /athrho {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} .4015142{col 37}{space 2} .7717292{col 48}{space 1}    0.52{col 57}{space 3}0.603{col 65}{space 4}-1.111047{col 78}{space 3} 1.914076
{txt}{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                    rho{col 25}{c |}{res}{space 2} .3812438{col 37}{space 2} .6595608{col 65}{space 4}-.8044323{col 78}{space 3} .9574264
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
Wald test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0): chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    0.27   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.6029
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\DP\Dropbox\Sanctions Early Peksen Folder\Sanction Effectiveness Shadow Econ Project\Data and do files\REPLICATION data and do files\FPA EarlyPeksen SE and Sanct Effect LOG.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}15 Jul 2019, 22:09:33
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}